分析师表示，许多人民币交易如今通过中国自己的全球支付系统CIPS进行，这些交易往往未出现在传统数据集中。这解释了北京官方叙事——人民币已成为全球第三大支付货币——与Swift等追踪系统数据之间的差距。
中国人民银行行长潘功胜去年在陆家嘴论坛上表示，人民币已成为全球第三大支付货币。然而，Swift的月度数据显示，2025年人民币在全球支付份额排名介于第四至第六位。最新数据显示，2月份人民币占全球支付价值的2.74%，位列第六。
这一差异源于许多跨境人民币交易通过中国的跨境人民币支付系统（CIPS）进行，该系统绕过了Swift等西方主导的网络。经济学家情报单位高级经济学家徐天辰表示：“随着替代系统的出现，Swift将不再是国际支付的准确镜像。”
徐天辰补充道：“人民币在Swift统计中的份额是增是减，或许已不再相关。”
分析师认为，这表明人民币国际化进程可能比西方数据反映的更快，尽管官方数据与独立追踪存在分歧。
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China's foreign trade reached 11.84 trillion yuan ($1.63 trillion) in the first quarter of 2026, up 15% year on year, the fastest quarterly growth in nearly five years, officials from the General Administration of Customs announced on Tuesday. Exports totaled 6.85 trillion yuan, up 11.9%, while imports rose 19.6% to 4.99 trillion yuan. The figure marks the first time first-quarter trade has exceeded 11 trillion yuan.
China has added 12 banks to its digital yuan (e-CNY) system, more than doubling the number of institutions using it in day-to-day operations. The expansion deepens the currency's role in the financial system after Beijing pledged to “steadily develop the digital yuan” in its latest five-year plan.
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As Beijing launches its new five-year plan, President Xi Jinping has revived his goal of turning China into a financial superpower. Analysts say Hong Kong, as a global financial centre, could play a key role in yuan internationalisation, digital yuan adoption, and cryptocurrency testing.
China plans a 9.3 percent increase in foreign affairs spending this year, the highest in three years and outpacing the military budget's 7 percent rise. Analysts say this signals Beijing's intent to consolidate geopolitical clout amid escalating global instability. The United States shows signs of withdrawing from its role as a world leader.
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The yen briefly surged in Asia trade, putting investors on high alert. The whipsaw trading followed Japan's likely spending of around ¥5.4 trillion ($34.5 billion) last week to support the yen. The Japan Times reported.