Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio falls to lowest level since 2022

Bitcoin's 365-day rolling Sharpe Ratio has dropped sharply to around minus 20, marking its lowest reading since late 2022. The cryptocurrency has declined 28 percent this year, leading to poor risk-adjusted returns for investors. Data from CryptoQuant shows the metric reached minus 21 at the end of June.

The Sharpe Ratio measures risk-adjusted returns by comparing an asset's performance to a risk-free rate, adjusted for volatility. A reading this negative indicates that investors would have fared better holding 10-year U.S. Treasuries, which yield about 4.45 percent.

Similar depressed levels occurred in 2015, 2019 and 2022, periods that coincided with bear market lows. Those instances preceded rebounds in Bitcoin prices.

Professional investors use the ratio to guide portfolio allocation decisions rather than relying solely on price changes from recent highs. The current figure highlights the extent of recent volatility and underperformance in Bitcoin.

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Illustration of Bitcoin price crash amid rotation to AI stocks
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Bitcoin falls to two-month low amid AI stock rotation

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Bitcoin dropped below $67,000 on Tuesday, marking its lowest level since April. The decline triggered nearly $400 million in liquidations within an hour and over $1 billion over 24 hours. Analysts linked the selloff to capital shifting toward AI-related equities and heavy outflows from Bitcoin ETFs.

U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have accumulated a net 4,500 BTC since the start of 2026. May has seen a reversal to distribution after accumulation in March and April. Swissblock data shows its Risk Index moving into high-risk territory.

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Bitcoin has ended its longest period of underperformance against the S&P 500 and is positioned to beat traditional assets amid persistent inflation pressures.

Bitcoin fell briefly below $80,000 before recovering to around $80,360, following a similar dip reported two days earlier. The move appears driven by internal profit-taking rather than macro factors, with on-chain data showing the largest single-day profit realization since late 2025.

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A weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed bullish sentiment among respondents dropping sharply to 30.4 percent. The figure marks the lowest level recorded so far in 2026.

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