Fuel rollback forecasts widen: Diesel down P24-P26/L for April 21

Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

MANILA, Philippines — Forecasts for this week's fuel price rollbacks have widened significantly, with diesel now expected to drop by P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline by P2.50 to P3.50 per liter, effective Tuesday, April 21.

The revisions, based on full-week trading data as of April 18, reflect further easing of the war premium in global oil prices tied to stabilizing Middle East tensions. This marks an increase from initial projections earlier in the week of P17 to P19 per liter for diesel.

Retailers are set to announce final figures on Monday, April 20—the second straight week of major cuts following April 14 reductions that brought Metro Manila diesel to around P147 per liter and gasoline to P116.

Prices, while falling, remain elevated above pre-crisis levels as part of the broader 2026 Philippine fuel price swings documented in ongoing coverage.

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Image of a gas station in the Philippines illustrating rising fuel prices amid Middle East tensions.
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Fuel prices rise in Philippines as Middle East tensions persist

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

Diesel prices in Metro Manila could drop to P70 to P90 per liter next week. Local fuel retailers are expected to implement fresh rollbacks following progress in Middle East peace talks.

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Oil companies in the Philippines began implementing steep fuel price cuts on Tuesday, June 2, with diesel falling by P9.26 per liter. The Department of Energy set the reductions for the week of June 2 to 8.

The National Petroleum Company announced reductions in fuel prices that will take effect this Thursday. The liter of 93-octane gasoline will drop 100.3 pesos and diesel will decrease by 155.4 pesos.

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The Department of Energy welcomed progress in US-Iran peace talks but cautioned that restoring domestic fuel prices to pre-crisis levels could require six to 12 months. Officials emphasized that the situation now involves broader economic effects beyond oil supply.

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