Fuel rollback forecasts widen: Diesel down P24-P26/L for April 21

Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

MANILA, Philippines — Forecasts for this week's fuel price rollbacks have widened significantly, with diesel now expected to drop by P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline by P2.50 to P3.50 per liter, effective Tuesday, April 21.

The revisions, based on full-week trading data as of April 18, reflect further easing of the war premium in global oil prices tied to stabilizing Middle East tensions. This marks an increase from initial projections earlier in the week of P17 to P19 per liter for diesel.

Retailers are set to announce final figures on Monday, April 20—the second straight week of major cuts following April 14 reductions that brought Metro Manila diesel to around P147 per liter and gasoline to P116.

Prices, while falling, remain elevated above pre-crisis levels as part of the broader 2026 Philippine fuel price swings documented in ongoing coverage.

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Realistic photo of a Philippine gas station celebrating fuel price rollbacks to P23 per liter for diesel, with happy drivers amid jeepneys and price signs.
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Fuel prices roll back up to P23 per liter starting April 14 after weeks of Middle East-driven hikes

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Oil firms confirmed price rollbacks effective 6 a.m. Tuesday, April 14, matching Department of Energy projections: diesel down P20.89 to P23 per liter, gasoline P4.43 to P4.50, and kerosene P8.50. The cuts end surges of over P100 on diesel since late February's Middle East crisis. President Marcos suspended excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, while a jeepney subsidy launches.

Following last week's rollbacks, diesel prices are forecast to drop another P17 to P19 per liter and gasoline P2 to P3 per liter starting April 21, potentially taking diesel below P130, as Middle East tensions ease further with a holding ceasefire.

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Oil firms will implement fuel price adjustments on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, with diesel and kerosene posting rollbacks while gasoline edges higher. The Department of Energy reported a minimum diesel rollback of P12.94 per liter, kerosene by P15.71 per liter, and a gasoline increase of P0.53 per liter.

Oil firms will implement another round of fuel price hikes this week, with diesel seeing double-digit increases amid elevated global oil prices. Shell and Jetti Petroleum announced diesel increases of P12.90 per liter, while PetroGazz, Seaoil and UniOil raised prices by P12.50 per liter. Gasoline and kerosene prices also rose, though at slower rates.

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Fuel prices in Metro Manila remained unchanged at elevated levels over the Easter weekend, with diesel holding at P133.19 per liter—above the national average—as Filipinos returned from Holy Week holidays.

International gasoline prices have surged 74.7% since US and Israel attacks on Iran began on February 28, pushing Brent crude over $100 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz risks. Colombia, after early-year dips, implemented a price hike on April 1, with experts warning of further adjustments amid global tensions.

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Due to the war in the Middle East, diesel prices in the Philippines are expected to exceed P100 per liter, prompting public utility vehicle drivers to consider other jobs. Jeepney and tricycle drivers like Renie Rabago and Omeng Elardo struggle with rising fuel costs while their earnings remain low. The government offers a one-time P5,000 subsidy to assist them, though some say it is insufficient.

 

 

 

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