Tesla Stock Continues Rally on Long-Term AI and Robotics Potential

Building on last week's rebound from sales slump lows, Tesla shares have risen 19% in the past month to $481.20, up 27% year-to-date and 291% over three years. Analysts see fair value at $425.37 but highlight growth in EVs, autonomy, and robotics.

Tesla's stock momentum persists after the December 15 rally to near-record highs amid AI optimism, following November's U.S. sales drop and Europe declines. Shares gained 19% in the last month (13% in the prior three months), contributing to 27% YTD gains and nearly 291% three-year returns.

At $481.20, the price exceeds estimated fair value of $425.37 by 13%, per narrative analysis. Upside stems from expansions in autonomous driving and robotics, potentially driving multi-trillion-dollar valuation by 2035—framing prior dips as opportunities.

Risks include execution on robotaxis, regulatory issues, and competition, balancing innovation against auto sector realities. Investors should prioritize fundamentals when comparing to peers.

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Tesla Robotaxi driverless on Texas road with soaring TSLA stock chart to $489.88 record high.
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Tesla Stock Hits All-Time High on Continued Robotaxi Testing Momentum

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Building on yesterday's near-record surge, Tesla shares closed at a record $489.88 on December 16, 2025, after CEO Elon Musk confirmed unoccupied driverless testing in Texas. The rally underscores investor faith in Tesla's AI and autonomy push amid EV headwinds.

Tesla shares surged 3.6% to $475.31 on December 15, 2025—nearing the prior record—fueled by AI and robotics optimism, rebounding from last week's dip amid November U.S. sales drop and insider selling. Trading volume hit 113.6 million shares amid broader market weakness.

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Tesla's stock climbed 2.1% to $445.01 on Friday, fueled by investor enthusiasm for its autonomous driving advancements and potential in the robotaxi market. Analysts highlighted upcoming Full Self-Driving upgrades and strong December sales in China as key drivers. However, concerns over delivery declines and competition temper the outlook ahead of earnings.

Bank of America analyst Federico Merendi has increased the price target for Tesla stock to $471 from $341 while maintaining a Neutral rating. The adjustment reflects stronger progress in Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus programs, which now account for a significant portion of the company's projected value. This comes amid broader Wall Street optimism about Tesla's AI and autonomy initiatives following its Q3 earnings.

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Tesla is set to report its fourth-quarter electric vehicle deliveries on or around January 2, capping a second year of declining sales amid fierce competition. Despite a 25% stock rise in 2025, the company's high valuation raises doubts about its investment appeal. Investors are eyeing future products like the Cybercab and Optimus, but near-term challenges dominate.

Following last week's U.S. sales plunge and insider selling, Tesla's challenges spread to Europe and China in November, with sharp drops despite incentives. Stock nears $459 amid Musk's robotaxi push, but NHTSA probes FSD and analyst Ross Gerber flags 2026 risks.

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Baird analyst Ben Kallo has maintained an Outperform rating on Tesla with a $548 price target, highlighting the company as a core holding ahead of key developments in 2026. Shares have risen 21% year-to-date in 2025 and 7% in the last month, outperforming the S&P 500. The firm anticipates announcements on robotaxi services, Optimus robotics, and expansions into new markets.

 

 

 

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