Saham Tesla Lanjutkan Kenaikan Berkat Potensi Jangka Panjang AI dan Robotika

Membangun dari pemulihan minggu lalu dari titik terendah penurunan penjualan, saham Tesla naik 19% dalam sebulan terakhir menjadi $481,20, naik 27% sejak awal tahun dan 291% selama tiga tahun. Analis melihat nilai wajar di $425,37 tetapi menyoroti pertumbuhan di EV, otonomi, dan robotika.

Momentum saham Tesla berlanjut setelah reli 15 Desember ke level tinggi hampir rekor di tengah optimisme AI, menyusul penurunan penjualan AS di November dan penurunan di Eropa. Saham naik 19% dalam sebulan terakhir (13% dalam tiga bulan sebelumnya), berkontribusi pada kenaikan 27% YTD dan pengembalian hampir 291% selama tiga tahun.

Pada $481,20, harga melebihi nilai wajar perkiraan $425,37 sebesar 13%, per analisis naratif. Potensi upside berasal dari ekspansi di mengemudi otonom dan robotika, berpotensi mendorong valuasi triliunan dolar pada 2035—menganggap penurunan sebelumnya sebagai peluang.

Risiko mencakup eksekusi robotaxi, isu regulasi, dan persaingan, menyeimbangkan inovasi dengan realitas sektor otomotif. Investor harus mengutamakan fundamental saat membandingkan dengan rekan sejawat.

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Photorealistic image of a Tesla robotaxi on city street with rising TSLA stock ticker to $460, per Bank of America projection.
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Bank of America projects Tesla stock to reach $460 on robotaxi growth

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Bank of America analysts have recommended buying Tesla stock, forecasting a price of $460 per share driven by the company's advancements in robotaxis and autonomous driving. This outlook comes despite a decline in Tesla's 2025 vehicle sales, as the firm highlights the potential for robotaxis to account for more than half of the company's valuation. The projection implies about 13% upside from recent trading levels around $402 to $406.

Tesla's stock closed at $396.73, marking declines of 1.4% over the past week and 3.5% over the past month, amid questions about whether the price embeds too much future growth. A discounted cash flow analysis suggests the shares are trading 160.8% above an estimated intrinsic value of $152.12. Alternative narratives highlight varying views on the company's potential in AI, robotics, and energy.

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Tesla shares have risen dramatically over the past decade but face challenges in hitting a $1,000 milestone. The stock trades at $402.51, requiring a 150% increase to reach that level amid concerns over valuation and growth. Progress in robotaxis and Optimus robots could be key to future gains.

Tesla shares fell approximately 2.6% to around $392 in early trading on March 2, 2026, amid rising oil prices from Middle East tensions and mixed European sales data. The decline followed a Cybertruck price increase to $69,990 for the dual-motor all-wheel-drive model. Investors weighed these factors against ongoing demand concerns in key markets.

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