Mexican peso appreciates 0.07% amid stalled US-Iran negotiations

The Mexican peso appreciated 0.07% against the dollar on April 27, closing at 17.38 units, due to stalled negotiations between the United States and Iran. President Donald Trump canceled the second round of talks scheduled in Pakistan, while Iranian representatives traveled to Russia. Global markets showed mixed reactions to the uncertainty.

The Mexican peso closed on April 27 with a minimal 0.07% appreciation against the US dollar, at 17.38 units per dollar, one centavo less than the previous Friday, according to Banco de México data. Banamex reported the dollar selling at 17.78 pesos and buying at 16.86 pesos.

The second round of negotiations between Donald Trump's representatives and Iran, scheduled for the weekend in Pakistan, was canceled by the US president. “They gave us a document that should have been better and curiously, immediately after canceling it, in ten minutes we received a new document that was much better,” Trump said. In response, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi traveled to Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin.

Stock markets reacted cautiously. In Wall Street, the Nasdaq fell 0.32% to 24,757.80 points, S&P 500 dropped 0.10% to 7,156.88, and Dow Jones lost 0.07% at 49,188.10. In Mexico, S&P/BMV IPC declined 0.67% to 68,768.13 units and FTSE-BIVA 0.74% to 1,375.85.

European indices were mixed: IBEX 35 rose 0.18% to 17,723.80, DAX 0.12% to 24,157.72, CAC 40 0.01% to 10,347.77, and FTSE 100 fell 0.29% to 10,349.32. Oil advanced, with WTI at $96.38 (+2.10%) and Brent at $107.98 (+2.52%).

Felipe Mendoza, analyst at EBC Financial Group, noted that markets will watch Mexico's GDP and Fed rhetoric.

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Wall Street and Mexico's BMV stock markets closed sharply higher on Wednesday, reacting to Tuesday's post-market announcement of a two-week truce between the US and Iran—including negotiations and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz—following President Trump's ultimatum. The Dow Jones surged 2.85%, while the BMV's IPC climbed 2.47%. The Mexican peso strengthened up to 1.9% against the dollar.

The Mexican peso strengthened against the US dollar on April 20, trading at 17.30 pesos per dollar according to Banco de México, due to a slight weakening of the greenback tied to geopolitical disagreements with Iran. Experts indicate the peso's outlook will be shaped by geopolitics and key economic data. The exchange rate in bank windows reached 17.76 pesos.

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The Mexican peso ended the session up 0.15% against the dollar at 17.76 pesos per unit, per Banco de México data. Traders assessed the feasibility of a ceasefire in Iran ahead of Banxico's monetary policy decision on Thursday. Analysts forecast the currency to hold in a 17.65-17.85 pesos per dollar range.

The US dollar closed higher against the Colombian peso at $3,576.10, up $2.80 from the TRM of $3,573.30. The rise followed a new government repurchase of global bonds, the third in the past year. Meanwhile, crude oil prices fell amid expectations of US-Iran peace talks.

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Mexico's central bank cut its benchmark rate to 6.75% in a split decision, as global markets closed lower amid the US-Iran war. The BMV fell 1.65%, and the peso depreciated 1% against the dollar. Oil prices rose due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

The dollar's exchange rate against the real fell to R$4.997, a level unseen since early 2024, driven by the Iran-US ceasefire announced on April 7. Analysts link the drop to eased global risk aversion and renewed flows into emerging markets like Brazil. However, 2026 elections and public finances prompt caution.

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The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, started on February 28, 2026, has driven oil prices above 100 dollars per barrel, closing the Strait of Hormuz and creating volatility in global markets. In Mexico, this could mean additional oil revenues of 406 billion pesos if the average price holds at 90 dollars for the year. However, the conflict has also depreciated the Mexican peso and accelerated inflation to 4.02 percent in February.

 

 

 

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