South Korean officials in urgent meeting assessing supply chain risks from China's export ban to Japan.
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South Korea braces for supply chain fallout from China's dual-use export ban to Japan

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Following China's January 6 ban on dual-use exports to Japan—retaliation for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Taiwan remarks—South Korea's industries face risks from interconnected supply chains. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources held an emergency meeting on January 8 to evaluate impacts and pledged safeguards against shortages.

China's ban on dual-use items (goods, software, and technologies with civilian and military applications) to Japan, announced January 6, has raised alarms in South Korea due to the trio's intertwined supply chains. While not directly targeted, Seoul expects broad repercussions, as China warned against circumvention via third countries, imposing a de facto secondary boycott. Korean firms processing Chinese raw materials for export to Japan risk penalties.

South Korea imports nearly 80% of its rare earths from China, which dominates over 70% of global production. Japan sources more than half of its rare earths from China, and disruptions could cascade. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources convened a supply chain inspection on January 8 with ministries and industry groups, vowing close coordination to avert shortages. "We will manage supply and demand thoroughly, keeping all options open to protect production," said Vice Industry Minister Moon Shin-hak.

The response coincides with President Lee Jae Myung's state visit to China, where Beijing urged Seoul to align strategically. Echoing past tensions—like Japan's 2019 semiconductor curbs and China's 2021 urea export limits—experts urge diversifying via Australia, Canada, Vietnam; investing in recycling; and building stockpiles.

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Discussions on X express concern over potential supply chain disruptions for South Korea from China's dual-use export ban to Japan. Korean media highlight risks to industries reliant on Chinese rare earths and interconnected trade. Analysts note South Korea's nervousness amid the timing with its president's China visit, while some speculate on limited impact due to China's overproduction. Japanese officials deem the ban unacceptable, escalating tensions over Taiwan remarks.

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Illustration depicting Japan's diplomatic protest against China's ban on dual-use goods exports amid Taiwan tensions.
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Japan urges China to lift dual-use goods export ban over Taiwan remarks

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China's commerce ministry announced on January 7 an immediate ban on exports of dual-use goods to Japan. Japan's foreign ministry protested the move as 'extremely regrettable' and demanded its withdrawal. The measure appears to be retaliation for remarks on Taiwan by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.

Amid ongoing China-Japan tensions sparked by Sanae Takaichi's prior Taiwan remarks, Japan is bolstering ties with South Korea while facing Beijing's new export curbs on rare earths and dual-use items, prompting stockpiling and G7 coordination.

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One day after China's announcement of an export ban on dual-use goods to Japan, the restrictions took effect on January 7, threatening established trade flows amid escalating tensions over Taiwan remarks by PM Sanae Takaichi. Japan protested the move as 'unacceptable' and is now evaluating broader fallout from the wide-ranging list of affected military-civilian products.

A ministerial-level meeting on critical minerals in Washington on January 12 saw G7 finance ministers agree to reduce dependence on China for rare earths. Amid China's intensifying use of export restrictions as economic coercion, this step is vital for securing resources underpinning technologies like electric vehicles and semiconductors.

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Chinese semiconductor industry experts and executives express confidence in handling potential Japanese restrictions on photoresist exports to China, highlighting domestic alternatives and supply chain diversification. No production disruptions have been reported so far.

US-based rare earth firm REalloys has announced a partnership with Canada's Saskatchewan Research Council, investing US$21 million in a heavy rare earths processing plant. The initiative seeks to build a North American supply chain for critical minerals that bypasses China, backed by Washington. The firm says achieving a fully self-sufficient supply chain will take time.

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Following a Chinese think tank report warning of Japan's nuclear ambitions, Beijing's foreign and defense ministries issued sharp condemnations on Thursday against Tokyo's alleged remilitarization, including pushes to revise non-nuclear principles and explore nuclear submarines—moves that risk further souring bilateral relations.

 

 

 

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