Chinese bank aids repo for Argentina's debt payment

The Bank of China joined a USD 3,000 million repo operation that enabled the Argentine government to cover January debt maturities. This involvement highlights financial dependence on China, despite President Javier Milei's promises to align with the United States and reduce Chinese influence. The deal included Western banks and raises concerns over future risks in 2026.

Economy Minister Luis Caputo executed a USD 3,000 million repo to fully cover Friday's January 9 maturities, totaling USD 4,000 million, of which USD 3,000 million is capital. Among the six participating banks, the Bank of China contributed USD 100 million, while entities like Santander, BBVA, and Deutsche Bank injected around USD 680 million each, followed by Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.

This operation gains political significance amid Argentina's geopolitical alignment with Donald Trump. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, promised to 'remove China from Argentina,' and the White House granted a USD 20,000 million credit line. Yet, China's presence in the repo reveals ongoing dependence, particularly facing USD 20,000 million commitments in 2026, equivalent to 3.6% of GDP, according to Portfolio Personal de Inversiones.

Experts like Santiago López Alfaro from Delphos Investment noted: 'No country in the world pays capital maturities... The problem is that Argentina has a record.' Meanwhile, Fernando Morra from Lambda saw it as 'a quite bad signal to the market regarding the fulfillment of the economic plan,' adding: 'Basically, you're arriving... without being able to reopen markets and without sufficient reserves'.

The International Monetary Fund emphasizes the need to renew the currency swap with the People's Bank of China, which refinanced USD 5,000 million for 12 months until June 2026. Additionally, there are payment arrears on infrastructure projects, such as the Néstor Kirchner and Jorge Cepernic dams in Santa Cruz, financed by over USD 10,600 million from China. A default could trigger a 'cross-default,' impacting other credit lines.

Makala yanayohusiana

Dramatic photo illustration of Argentina's rising country risk and falling stocks amid IMF review, featuring tense traders and economic decline indicators in Buenos Aires.
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Argentina's country risk rises amid IMF review, after recent eight-year low

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Argentina's country risk rose 14 basis points on February 5, 2026, amid international tensions and the arrival of an IMF technical team for the second review of the country's credit agreement. This followed a drop below 500 points for the first time in eight years the prior week. Stocks fell up to 8% and the official dollar declined 5 pesos.

The Argentine government paid US$4200 million to bondholders, leaving just over US$100 million in its account, according to private surveys. In parallel, it conducted a debt auction that covered 98% of its maturities, though with interest rates reaching 49%. This operation marks the first local placement of the year.

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Argentina's country risk closed on Wednesday, January 7, 2026, at 575 basis points, up 13 units from the previous day. The confirmation of a US$3,000 million REPO loan sparked initial optimism, but global volatility and Wall Street declines reversed the trend. The indicator hit an intraday low of 548 points before rising.

Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced a new issuance of dollar-denominated bonds under local law to raise up to USD 2,000 million in the first half of 2026, aimed at meeting July debt maturities. The auctions will be biweekly and absorb up to USD 500 million per month. This step is part of the strategy to prepare for a return to international markets.

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After the US abduction of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro, Chinese entrepreneurs in the region say they are staying put—for now—but are more attuned to geopolitical risks. Two supertankers heading to load Venezuelan oil for China have made U-turns back to Asia, indicating trade disruptions. In Argentina, President Javier Milei confirms plans for a 2026 China trip despite US pressure to curb ties.

Argentina's country risk indicator dropped to 494 basis points on January 27, 2026, its lowest level since May 2018, driven by rising sovereign bonds and the central bank's reserve accumulation. This decline signals growing investor optimism about the country's fiscal solvency. International reserves approach 46 billion dollars after daily net purchases.

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Argentina's lower house approved the labor reform on Friday, February 20, 2026, sparking a positive response in financial markets. The Country Risk dropped to 519 basis points, aided by gains in sovereign bonds. The Central Bank also built reserves by purchasing US$ 167 million that day.

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