Commodity exchange buckles under coffee price controls weight

The Ethiopian Commodities Exchange (ECX), founded in 2008, has seen its revenues drop by 22% over the past three years, with its customer base shrinking to just 510 active members. In 2023, it traded only 64% of its planned market volume and collected less than 22% of the nearly two billion Birr it was expected to generate over the last two fiscal years.

The Ethiopian Commodities Exchange (ECX), established in 2008 as a flagship for modernizing the nation's agricultural markets, is enduring its toughest phase yet. Once dominating the trade of agricultural produce, the platform now grapples with significant setbacks linked to government-imposed coffee price controls. Over the past three years, ECX's revenues have declined by 22 percent, while its active membership has dwindled to 510. In 2023, it achieved only 64 percent of its targeted trading volume. Moreover, over the previous two fiscal years, the exchange managed to collect just 22 percent of the approximately two billion Birr in expected fees. These figures highlight the mounting pressures on ECX, which was designed to bring transparency and efficiency to Ethiopia's commodity trading. As coffee, a key export, faces price restrictions, the exchange's role in stabilizing markets appears increasingly strained, prompting concerns about the broader agricultural sector's transformation efforts.

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Global coffee prices are tumbling due to anticipated record harvests from major producers like Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, and Indonesia. Brazil's Conab agency projects Arabica output could reach 49 million bags in 2026/27, up from 37.7 million last year, thanks to favorable rainfall. Ethiopian exporters warn of tougher times ahead with collapsing margins and rising uncertainty.

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Ethiopia's Ministry of Agriculture states it will take necessary action against elements hindering and sabotaging coffee production. Coffee plays a key role in the national economy, with a target to export 600,000 tons in the budget year. Challenges have affected export volumes despite revenue gains.

The Ethiopian Capital Markets Authority has relaxed enforcement on companies missing the share registration deadline. This accommodation addresses compliance struggles amid challenges like high fees and limited providers. Progress includes collaborations among microfinance institutions and upcoming mobile trading platforms.

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More than 14 foreign chambers of commerce, representing European, American, Chinese, and Indian interests, are uniting to tackle persistent business obstacles in Ethiopia. EuroCham has opened a new headquarters offering free workspaces to help new investors navigate local rules. Foreign direct investment rebounded to $4 billion in 2024/25, though bureaucratic issues continue to plague many investors.

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