Copper price nears new historical high and boosts fiscal balance

The copper price reached US$6.20 per pound on Monday at the London Metal Exchange, driven by supply restrictions stemming from the conflict in Iran. The figure approaches the record of US$6.28 set in January 2026 and marks a 9.34% rise so far this year.

The red metal rose 1.7% from Friday's close and completed four consecutive sessions above US$6. It also marked new highs at the Comex in New York, trading above US$6.40.

Experts attribute the surge to fears of shortages in inputs such as sulfur and sulfuric acid, whose exports from the Middle East were disrupted by the conflict. Analysts from XTB and Plusmining noted that these factors deepen supply restrictions despite lower demand.

From a fiscal perspective, the average price of US$5.84 in 2026 far exceeds budget projections. Economists from Gemines and EuroAmerica said this improves the state's effective revenues, although it does not alter the structural situation, and could generate between US$2 billion and US$3 billion in additional collection from taxes and royalties.

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Dramatic scene of US naval blockade and Iranian ship seizures in the Strait of Hormuz, with oil prices topping $100 amid stalled ceasefire talks.
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Oil prices top $100 as US-Iran ceasefire talks stall

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Crude oil prices have surpassed $100 per barrel amid stalled peace talks between the United States and Iran. Trade through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, with Iran seizing two ships and the US maintaining a naval blockade. Analysts warn of further price increases due to ongoing disruptions.

The copper-to-gold ratio has climbed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since September 2020. This development has historically coincided with the early stages of bitcoin bull markets.

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The US currency closed lower on Monday in Chile after two sessions of sharp gains. The exchange rate reached $916.50 amid anticipation for the US inflation data.

Gold prices in Egypt dropped sharply on Tuesday to their lowest level this year amid falling global markets and a stable Egyptian pound.

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Codelco reported a sharp rise in first-quarter profits driven by higher copper prices, despite a drop in its own production.

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