Energy and Israel ETFs gain amid war in Iran

Global equities have declined in March 2026, coinciding with the start of the war in Iran over the last weekend of February. Exceptions include bitcoin, energy sector ETFs, oil, energy and agricultural commodities, and Israel. Non-US country ETFs such as those for France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan and Mexico have fallen more than 10% since the war began.

Equities worldwide have experienced declines this March, with performance aligning with the onset of the war in Iran, which began over the last weekend of February 2026. According to a Seeking Alpha analysis published on March 20, 2026, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) across most asset classes have posted losses during the month-to-date period, except for a select few performers: bitcoin, the energy sector, oil, other energy and agricultural commodities, and Israel-related investments. This divergence highlights pockets of resilience amid broader market pressure triggered by the conflict. Outside the United States, ETFs tracking countries including France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan and Mexico have dropped by more than 10% since the war's start. Precious metals have also underperformed, with gold and silver experiencing significant declines. The article notes that these trends coincide directly with the escalation in Iran, though it cuts off before detailing further specifics on the winners' performance metrics. No additional timelines or causal links beyond the temporal coincidence are provided in the available summary.

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Illustration of Middle East tensions causing stock market drops, oil price spikes, and investor flight to US dollar.
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Middle East conflict fuels global market volatility and oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, involving the US, Israel, and Iran, have triggered a slide in Asian shares and a surge in oil prices. Investors are turning to the US dollar for safety amid fears of prolonged energy cost increases and inflation. While emerging markets face short-term losses, experts see long-term resilience.

In the wake of US-Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei—detailed in prior coverage of crypto market volatility—gold prices rose 2% while oil surged over 7%, reflecting safe-haven demand amid escalating Middle East tensions.

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India's Sensex and Nifty continued to decline on March 5 amid persistent uncertainties from the Iran conflict, surging crude prices, and fears of escalation, compounding the sharp initial drop earlier in the week. Retail investors saw mutual fund and stock portfolios turn negative, prompting advice on navigating wartime volatility.

Indexes for US equity real estate investment trusts fell alongside major market benchmarks during the first week of March, driven by geopolitical tensions involving Israel, Iran, and the United States. The Dow Jones Equity All REIT index dropped 2.10% for the week.

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In the continuation of outflows reported earlier this week amid anticipation for US jobs data and tariff rulings, investors pulled more than $1.3 billion from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and $351 million from Ethereum ones over the past seven days, erasing initial January inflows. Bitcoin trades near $90,623 (up 1% weekly), while Ethereum holds at $3,093 (flat), amid broader market volatility.

Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

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Bitcoin traded near $69,500 on Wednesday after failing to hold above $71,000, influenced by ongoing U.S.-Israel tensions with Iran. While most altcoins declined, AI-related tokens like ICP and FET saw gains driven by exchange listings and positive industry commentary. Geopolitical volatility continued to affect markets, with oil prices fluctuating sharply.

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