Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at podium with father Jair Bolsonaro's support, announced as 2026 presidential candidate; inset of Javier Milei endorsing.
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Flávio Bolsonaro chosen as presidential candidate for 2026

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) announced on Friday (5) that he was chosen by his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, as the presidential candidate in 2026. The decision strengthens the family's influence in the Bolsonarista camp and draws reactions from the PT, which sees benefits for Lula. On Saturday (6), Argentine President Javier Milei expressed support for the pre-candidacy.

On Friday (December 5, 2025), Flávio Bolsonaro confirmed that he received from his father, Jair Bolsonaro, the endorsement to run for the Presidency in 2026. In a social media post, the senator stated he accepts the mission 'com responsabilidade' and described the former president as 'a maior liderança política e moral do Brasil'. The choice comes amid divisions in the right-wing camp, with governors like Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos-SP) and Ratinho Jr. (PSD-PR) seen as unreliable by Bolsonaro allies.

The decision affects the elections in São Paulo, where Tarcísio is expected to seek re-election. PT leaders, such as federal deputy Jilmar Tatto, state that the governor's permanence requires a nationally prominent opponent, citing Finance Minister Fernando Haddad and Vice-President Geraldo Alckmin as main options. 'Haddad foi bem na última eleição e Alckmin já foi governador do estado quatro vezes. [...] Ele [Tarcísio] não é invencível', Tatto said. State deputy Antonio Donato mentions the slogan 'só mais 6%', based on Tarcísio's 2022 second-round win over Haddad by 55.27% to 44.73%.

Government leader in the Chamber, José Guimarães (PT-CE), ironized that the Bolsonaro family gave a 'grande contribuição' to Lula, praising Flávio's selection as the 'mais centrado' among the sons. 'A divisão da direita fortalece o nosso campo', he stated. Abroad, Javier Milei reposted Eduardo Bolsonaro's message in support, strengthening ties with the family. An initial Datafolha poll after the announcement shows Flávio losing to Lula. The São Paulo race is set to serve as a platform for Lula's re-election.

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Reactions on X to Flávio Bolsonaro's announcement as Jair Bolsonaro's presidential candidate for 2026 show strong support from bolsonaristas emphasizing family legacy and unity. Critics, including some right-wing voices, express skepticism over market turmoil, electability against Lula, and preference for alternatives like Tarcísio. Javier Milei's supportive repost is celebrated by proponents. PT allies view it favorably for Lula's reelection chances.

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Illustration of imprisoned Jair Bolsonaro announcing son Flávio as 2026 presidential candidate from Brasília prison cell.
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Bolsonaro chooses Flávio as 2026 presidential candidate

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Former President Jair Bolsonaro, imprisoned in Brasília, announced on Friday (December 5) that his son, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, will be the bolsonarismo candidate for the Presidency in 2026. The decision aims to continue the family's political project and may boost agendas like amnesty for those convicted in the January 8 acts. Reactions range from family support to centrão criticism for prioritizing family survival over a broader right-wing front.

A Genial/Quaest poll released on Sunday shows that 49% of voters believe Senator Flávio Bolsonaro will take his pre-candidacy for the presidency to the end. Belief is higher among Bolsonaro supporters, while Lula voters see the announcement as a negotiation tactic. The move comes amid family maneuvers that centrão politicians interpret as signs of potential withdrawals.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro stated he will only withdraw his pre-candidacy for the 2026 presidency if former President Jair Bolsonaro is released and can run in the elections. In an interview with Record, he described the 'price' as justice for his father and supporters, while praising the positive reaction from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas to the news. The statement comes amid polls showing low initial support for his candidacy.

Following Jair Bolsonaro's transfer to Brasília's Papudinha facility, tensions erupted among his supporters over the 2026 elections, with public spats between backers of Flávio Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Tarcísio confirmed efforts for house arrest, but the move fueled clan divisions as allies push for candidacies.

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An AtlasIntel analysis shows President Lula holding a solid voter base but struggling to exceed 50% in a potential 2026 second-round matchup. Director Yuri Sanches points to antipetismo's influence and the right's need to unify to prevent a first-round PT victory. Advances by figures like Flávio Bolsonaro indicate the normalization of bolsonarismo in polls.

Following the US military capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) posted a video from vacation, celebrating the event, accusing President Lula of supporting the regime, and explicitly linking it to Brazil's 2026 presidential race. The move drew a sharp rebuke from PT Minister Gleisi Hoffmann.

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The Supreme Federal Court's First Panel unanimously rejected Jair Bolsonaro's defense appeal on Friday (7) in the coup plot case, upholding his 27-year prison sentence. Allies of the former president, including Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and PL president Valdemar Costa Neto, reacted at the inauguration of a party headquarters in Atibaia, vowing responses to alleged persecution and betting on Bolsonaro's return to the presidency in 2026. Defenses of other defendants, like Walter Braga Netto, announced appeals including to international courts.

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