Government needs P429 billion for prolonged Middle East crisis relief

The Philippine government would need P429 billion to fund support and relief if the Middle East conflict extends until December, according to the Department of Economy, Planning and Development. Secretary Arsenio Balisacan presented the estimates at yesterday's Senate PROTECT committee hearing. The measures include transport support, fuel and fertilizer subsidies, and social protection for the poor.

At yesterday's hearing of the Senate PROTECT committee, which stands for Proactive Response and Oversight for Timely and Effective Crisis Strategy, DEPDev Secretary Arsenio Balisacan presented estimates of P146.8 billion for April to June. He described these as indicative figures, not final, and said they would consult implementing agencies soon for precise numbers.

The Department of Budget and Management has identified P238 billion from 2025 and 2026 appropriations, with P125 billion released as of April 1 and P113.4 billion available for release. Balisacan noted that extending the crisis to July through December would demand far greater resources.

Balisacan stated he does not foresee an economic contraction this year, though the 5-6 percent growth target is no longer achievable. Analysts now project 3-4 percent growth, following last year's 4.4 percent expansion against a 5.5-6.5 percent goal. Trade Secretary Cristina Roque reported that the Department of Trade and Industry received 1,820 loan applications from micro, small, and medium enterprises totaling P3.2 billion amid rising costs.

Senate committee chairman Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian warned the conflict costs P70-85 billion monthly, depleting the P238.6 billion standby funds in about two and a half months. DBM Secretary Rolando Toledo confirmed the burn rate and said agencies must cut non-essential expenses like travel and training to save P12-25 billion. The executive may invoke Executive Order 110 for further budget repurposing. Foreign Affairs Secretary Ma. Theresa Lazaro affirmed the Philippines-Iran agreement for safe passage through the Hormuz Strait remains in force despite President Trump's blockade announcement.

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South Korean officials agree on 25 trillion-won budget to counter Middle East crisis and oil price surge.
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South Korean gov't, ruling party agree on 25 trillion-won supplementary budget amid Middle East crisis

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South Korea's government, ruling Democratic Party and presidential office agreed on a 25 trillion-won supplementary budget to address the Middle East crisis. The bill is set for submission to the National Assembly by end-March and passage on April 10. It aims to ease high oil prices and economic uncertainties.

The Department of Budget and Management has identified P238 billion in funding to support the government's response to the ongoing global oil crisis, under President Marcos's directive. DBM Secretary Rolando Toledo shared this during a House committee on ways and means hearing on April 8. It comes alongside a mandated 20 percent cut in non-essential government spending.

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Senator Win Gatchalian warned that the Philippine government may need a P400-billion “Bayanihan 3” supplemental budget to keep the economy afloat amid escalating Middle East conflicts threatening oil supplies. He cited risks to vital maritime routes like the Red Sea. The House of Representatives is also drafting a similar measure focused on long-term structural reforms.

The Department of Agriculture will distribute an extra P25 million in fuel aid to at least 5,000 farmers.

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President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. assured that the Philippines has sufficient petroleum supply despite gas prices doubling due to the Gulf war. Foreign Affairs Secretary Maria Theresa Lazaro spoke with her Iranian counterpart to secure safe passage for Philippine vessels and seafarers in the Strait of Hormuz. The country received 700,000 barrels of Russian crude oil thanks to a US waiver.

The House ways and means committee, led by Rep. Miro Quimbo, convenes on Wednesday, April 8, to discuss a potential relief package amid the oil and energy crisis triggered by the Middle East conflict. Government agencies have been invited to brief lawmakers on fuel supply, economic impacts from the US war on Iran, and the government's response. The hearings aim to craft a Bayanihan 3 package for short-term relief and long-term resilience.

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Energy Secretary Sharon Garin warned that a potential fuel supply shortfall poses a greater risk than rising pump prices amid Middle East tensions. The Philippines has sufficient fuel supply for April, but the government is focused on preventing depletion. It is exploring alternative sources to sustain oil imports.

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