Tense scene in French National Assembly as PM Lecornu threatens dissolution amid budget debate.
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Government dissolution threat holds as budget debate intensifies

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Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's administration maintains its threat to dissolve the National Assembly if censured over the Mercosur deal or 2026 budget, with snap elections prepared alongside March municipals to deter PS and LR support for opposition motions. As previously reported, Hollande and Barnier criticize the tactic; PS confirms no censure backing and eyes Monday budget talks.

Building on Friday's announcement tasking Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez with organizing legislative elections on March 15 and 22—coinciding with municipal polls—the government seeks to stabilize its position in a fragmented Assembly. This pressures moderates amid RN and LFI's no-confidence motions on the EU-Mercosur treaty, approved despite France's opposition.

The 2026 budget, rejected in committee on Saturday, heads to full Assembly debate starting Tuesday. PS leader Olivier Faure reiterated his party's refusal to support Mercosur censures, citing France's negative vote, and announced Monday negotiations at Bercy for concessions like a corporate profits surtax, ecological funding, and activity bonuses.

Former President François Hollande labeled the threat 'absurd,' warning of interference with local elections and advocating Article 49.3 for swift budget passage over ordinances. LR's Michel Barnier decried it as 'hostage-taking' of democratic municipals, urging compromises without unfunded spending.

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Discussions on X portray Lecornu's dissolution threat as a bluff or intimidation tactic to prevent censure motions on Mercosur and the 2026 budget. Hollande criticizes it as senseless, urging use of 49.3. PS declines to support RN/LFI censures on Mercosur but warns of potential budget censure if inadequate. RN and others decry the threat while advocating censure. Sentiments are largely negative and skeptical toward the government.

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French PM Sébastien Lecornu announces preparations for early legislative elections amid potential censure, at the National Assembly.
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Sébastien Lecornu prepares early legislative elections in case of censure

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Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has asked the Interior Minister to study organizing early legislative elections on the dates of the municipal polls, March 15 and 22, 2026, in anticipation of a possible government censure. This follows motions of censure filed by the Rassemblement National and La France Insoumise against the Mercosur treaty, despite France's opposition to the deal. Emmanuel Macron and Lecornu are considering dissolving the National Assembly if the government falls.

The French government threatened on Friday to dissolve the National Assembly if censured, preparing early legislative elections alongside March municipal polls. This response to censure motions from RN and LFI on the Mercosur deal draws criticism from figures like François Hollande and Michel Barnier. As the 2026 budget nears debate, calls to use article 49.3 grow to avert deadlock.

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Sébastien Lecornu's government survived two no-confidence motions in the National Assembly on Thursday, backed by the Socialist Party in exchange for suspending pension reform. The La France Insoumise motion failed by 18 votes, with 271 in favor against 289 needed. The National Rally motion garnered only 144 votes.

The National Assembly rejected on January 14 the two censure motions filed by La France Insoumise and the Rassemblement National against the government, in reaction to the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement. The LFI motion garnered only 256 votes out of 288 required, while the RN's got 142. Despite French opposition, the European Union is set to sign the deal on Saturday.

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Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced several measures on Friday evening to amend the 2026 budget project, hoping to secure a compromise with opposition parties and avoid censure. Key announcements include an increase in the activity bonus and the abandonment of unpopular tax reforms. He has given himself until Tuesday to finalize an agreement, without specifying whether he will use Article 49.3 or ordinances.

France's 2026 finance law concludes with a fragile compromise, criticized as a list of renunciations amid demographic, climate challenges and an unsustainable debt. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu announced on January 16 a lackluster deal, where each party claims small victories amid widespread frustration.

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The French National Assembly suspended debates on the first part of the 2026 finance bill on November 3, with over 2,300 amendments still to examine. Discussions will resume on November 12, after the social security budget review, in a race against time to meet the November 23 deadline. This delay fuels fears of the government resorting to ordinances.

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