Jean Gatty proposes Buffett-inspired law for 2026 budget

In a Le Monde op-ed, financier Jean Gatty criticizes France's projected 2026 budget deficits and suggests adopting a Warren Buffett-inspired measure to bar lawmakers' re-election if the deficit exceeds 3% of GDP.

France's 2026 state budget projects 402 billion euros in revenues, 526 billion in expenditures, and a 124 billion deficit, according to Jean Gatty's Le Monde op-ed. For social security, figures show 660 billion in revenues, 677 billion in expenditures, and a 17 billion deficit, adding 141 billion euros to the debt. No measures have been discussed for balancing the budget in 2027 or beyond.

Gatty questions the recurring public deficits, noting that state budgets balance only every 40 or 50 years, unlike businesses (1.2% failure rate in France in 2025, or 68,000 out of 5.9 million) or households (1.9% over-indebted in 2023, or 586,000 out of 30 million). He explains that states can borrow without repayment constraints, unlike individuals and companies.

Drawing from Warren Buffett, Gatty quotes the American billionaire: “We could solve the deficit in five minutes. Just pass a law that says any time there's a deficit of more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for re-election. Then you'd get the incentives right. It's doable.” This proposal aims to align lawmakers' incentives with fiscal discipline.

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French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presents the 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts in a press conference at the National Assembly.
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French government unveils 2026 budget with tax hikes and spending cuts

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On October 14, 2025, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu presented the 2026 finance bill, aiming to cut the public deficit to 4.7% of GDP through €14 billion in extra tax revenues and €17 billion in spending savings. The budget targets high earners, businesses, and social expenditures, while drawing criticism over its feasibility.

The 2026 finance bill was passed using Article 49.3 of the Constitution, despite the Prime Minister's initial promise against it. The public deficit is projected at 5% of GDP, down from 5.4% in 2025, exceeding 150 billion euros overall. This amounts to an average of 3614 euros per one of the 41.5 million fiscal households.

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After a weekend suspension of debates, National Assembly deputies resumed discussions on November 17 on the revenues section of the 2026 finance bill, with over 1,500 amendments to review by November 23. In the evening, they tackle the end-of-management bill adjusting 2025 finances, featuring debates on the VAT revenue shortfall. Meanwhile, the Senate reviews the social security budget and removes the pension reform suspension.

Debates on France's 2026 budget project promise to be fierce in the National Assembly, with over 1,700 amendments filed for the revenues section. Budget rapporteur Philippe Juvin sharply criticizes the planned tax increases and calls for cuts in public spending. The finance committee review begins on Monday, October 20, in a tight schedule.

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The French government canceled Thursday the debates scheduled for Friday and Monday at the National Assembly on the 2026 budget bill, postponing them to Tuesday, when it may opt for Article 49.3 or ordinances to pass the text without a vote. This decision follows what Matignon calls 'continuous sabotage' by RN and LFI deputies, making adoption by vote impossible. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu will present proposals Friday to attempt a compromise and avoid censure.

The French Parliament unanimously adopted a special finance law on December 23, 2025, to prevent a state financial blockade starting January 1, 2026. This provisional text, presented by Sébastien Lecornu's government after failed negotiations on the 2026 budget, temporarily extends 2025 credits. Discussions on a full budget will resume in January amid ongoing uncertainties.

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Deputies adopted the 'revenues' part of the 2026 social security budget on Saturday, November 8, by 176 votes to 161 with 58 abstentions. This narrow vote allows debates to continue on the 'expenditures' part, which includes suspending the 2023 pension reform. Discussions will run until Wednesday, interrupted by the Armistice on November 11.

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