Middle East escalation deepens economic strain on South Korea

As the U.S.-Israel Operation Epic Fury against Iran's leadership expands—with Iranian retaliation, Hezbollah, and Houthi involvement—the conflict's fallout intensifies for South Korea. Stocks plunged further Wednesday, oil prices rose amid Strait of Hormuz threats, and policymakers urge preparations for prolonged instability, building on prior evacuations and stabilization measures.

The U.S. and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury targeting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, with the conflict now spreading via Iranian strikes on neighbors and proxy actions by Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthis in Yemen. This builds on initial responses including evacuations of 21,000 nationals and market stabilization efforts (see prior coverage).

South Korea's KOSPI index fell an additional 12.1 percent Wednesday to 5,093.54 after Tuesday's 7.24 percent drop, while the won weakened to 1,476.2 per dollar. As a nation importing 70 percent of its oil from the Middle East—95 percent via the Strait of Hormuz—with reserves covering 208 days, disruptions loom large. Historical conflicts have spiked oil prices, curbed spending, and hammered Asian growth.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard threatens strait transits, and Tehran warns of closure, but U.S. President Donald Trump pledged military escorts for tankers. Brent crude climbed 1.5 percent to $82.61 per barrel Wednesday; Citibank warns oil above $82 could trim 0.45 percentage points from GDP growth.

Compounded by Russia's ongoing Ukraine invasion, Trump's comments add uncertainty: he predicted a 4-5 week conflict and touted U.S. 'virtually unlimited supply' on Truth Social. Officials, businesses, and the National Assembly must coordinate. Urgently, approve a special law by Monday for last year's $350 billion U.S. investment deal, amid Trump tariff threats post-Supreme Court ruling.

Makala yanayohusiana

Dramatic illustration of Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei amid Middle East conflict escalation, surging oil prices, and South Korea's economic crisis with falling won.
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Middle East crisis escalates with Iran's new supreme leader; South Korea hit economically

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The Middle East conflict, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, has intensified with Mojtaba Khamenei named as Iran's new supreme leader. Global oil prices have surged past $114 per barrel, pushing the South Korean won to a 17-year low against the U.S. dollar. The South Korean government is bolstering evacuation efforts and economic stabilization measures.

As Middle East tensions worsen after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran—with no Korean casualties reported—South Korea is prioritizing evacuations for 21,000 nationals in the region, stabilizing plunging markets, and securing oil amid Strait of Hormuz closure fears. This follows initial assurances of stable energy supplies.

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Korean stocks closed lower on Thursday amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which caused volatility in global oil prices. The KOSPI index fell 0.48 percent to 5,583.25, while the won weakened sharply to 1,481.2 against the U.S. dollar, down 14.7 won. Despite the International Energy Agency's plan to release oil reserves, investors remained cautious over fears of a prolonged conflict.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) on Tuesday triggered a sell-side circuit breaker, halting trading for five minutes after a sharp drop in the KOSPI 200 Futures index amid market fears over U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. The index fell 5.09 percent to 890.05, marking the first such event since January 6. Escalating Middle East tensions are rippling through South Korea's stock market.

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US-Israeli airstrikes over the weekend killed Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, prompting Iranian retaliation across the region and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This escalation has driven oil prices above $85 per barrel, the highest since July 2024, amid concerns over disrupted energy flows. Global markets reacted with falling stocks and rising commodity prices.

Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and prompted Strait of Hormuz disruptions, oil prices rose nearly 8% amid ongoing tensions. Indian markets shed Rs 6.35 lakh crore on Tuesday, with the rupee weakening on supply fears. Globally, the dollar strengthened as a safe haven while the yen and euro weakened.

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South Korean stocks soared nearly 3 percent and the won strengthened sharply on April 3 amid reports of Iran drafting a protocol with Oman to monitor Strait of Hormuz traffic, fueling hopes of easing oil supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict. The KOSPI index climbed 2.74 percent to 5,377.30, while the won rose to 1,505.2 per U.S. dollar.

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