Middle East escalation deepens economic strain on South Korea

As the U.S.-Israel Operation Epic Fury against Iran's leadership expands—with Iranian retaliation, Hezbollah, and Houthi involvement—the conflict's fallout intensifies for South Korea. Stocks plunged further Wednesday, oil prices rose amid Strait of Hormuz threats, and policymakers urge preparations for prolonged instability, building on prior evacuations and stabilization measures.

The U.S. and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury targeting Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, with the conflict now spreading via Iranian strikes on neighbors and proxy actions by Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthis in Yemen. This builds on initial responses including evacuations of 21,000 nationals and market stabilization efforts (see prior coverage).

South Korea's KOSPI index fell an additional 12.1 percent Wednesday to 5,093.54 after Tuesday's 7.24 percent drop, while the won weakened to 1,476.2 per dollar. As a nation importing 70 percent of its oil from the Middle East—95 percent via the Strait of Hormuz—with reserves covering 208 days, disruptions loom large. Historical conflicts have spiked oil prices, curbed spending, and hammered Asian growth.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard threatens strait transits, and Tehran warns of closure, but U.S. President Donald Trump pledged military escorts for tankers. Brent crude climbed 1.5 percent to $82.61 per barrel Wednesday; Citibank warns oil above $82 could trim 0.45 percentage points from GDP growth.

Compounded by Russia's ongoing Ukraine invasion, Trump's comments add uncertainty: he predicted a 4-5 week conflict and touted U.S. 'virtually unlimited supply' on Truth Social. Officials, businesses, and the National Assembly must coordinate. Urgently, approve a special law by Monday for last year's $350 billion U.S. investment deal, amid Trump tariff threats post-Supreme Court ruling.

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Dramatic illustration of Iran's new supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei amid Middle East conflict escalation, surging oil prices, and South Korea's economic crisis with falling won.
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Middle East crisis escalates with Iran's new supreme leader; South Korea hit economically

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The Middle East conflict, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, has intensified with Mojtaba Khamenei named as Iran's new supreme leader. Global oil prices have surged past $114 per barrel, pushing the South Korean won to a 17-year low against the U.S. dollar. The South Korean government is bolstering evacuation efforts and economic stabilization measures.

As Middle East tensions worsen after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran—with no Korean casualties reported—South Korea is prioritizing evacuations for 21,000 nationals in the region, stabilizing plunging markets, and securing oil amid Strait of Hormuz closure fears. This follows initial assurances of stable energy supplies.

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Korean stocks closed lower on Thursday amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which caused volatility in global oil prices. The KOSPI index fell 0.48 percent to 5,583.25, while the won weakened sharply to 1,481.2 against the U.S. dollar, down 14.7 won. Despite the International Energy Agency's plan to release oil reserves, investors remained cautious over fears of a prolonged conflict.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) on Tuesday triggered a sell-side circuit breaker, halting trading for five minutes after a sharp drop in the KOSPI 200 Futures index amid market fears over U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran. The index fell 5.09 percent to 890.05, marking the first such event since January 6. Escalating Middle East tensions are rippling through South Korea's stock market.

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週末の米イスラエル空爆によりイランの最高指導者アーヤトッラー・アリー・ハーメネイ師が死亡し、地域全体でのイラン報復とホルムズ海峡の閉鎖を招いた。このエスカレーションで原油価格が1バレル85ドル超に急騰、2024年7月以来の最高値を更新し、エネルギー供給途絶への懸念が広がっている。世界市場は株安と商品価格の上昇で反応した。

米国とイスラエルのイラン攻撃で最高指導者アリ・ハーメネイ師が死亡し、ホルムズ海峡の混乱を招いた後、緊張が続く中、原油価格が約8%上昇。インド市場は火曜日に6.35 lakh croreルピー失い、供給懸念でルピーが下落。世界的にドルが安全資産として強まり、円とユーロが弱含み。

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4月3日、イランがオマーンとの間でホルムズ海峡の通航を監視する議定書の草案を作成しているとの報道を受け、中東情勢の緊張緩和による原油供給不安の解消に期待が高まり、韓国株式市場は3%近く急騰し、ウォンも大幅に上昇した。KOSPI指数は2.74%高の5377.30で取引を終え、対米ドルでのウォン相場は1505.2ウォンまで上昇した。

 

 

 

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