OPEC+ announces oil production increase from June despite Ormuz blockade

The OPEC+ alliance announced an increase of 188,000 barrels per day in crude oil production starting June 2026. This adds to the 206,000 barrels rise announced in April. The blockade in the Strait of Ormuz, however, restricts its effect on global markets.

Following a virtual meeting after the United Arab Emirates' exit from the bloc, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria—OPEC members—along with Russia, Oman, and Kazakhstan announced the production hike.

In a joint statement, the countries said the decision "reaffirms their commitment to market stability". They added they will continue "supervising and closely evaluating market conditions in their ongoing efforts to support its stability".

The move aims to address oil price volatility amid geopolitical tensions. However, the unresolved conflict between Iran and the United States has blocked the Strait of Ormuz, preventing exports of Gulf crude.

While the increase is significant on paper, its impact on international markets could be limited as long as restrictions persist in this key strategic route.

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Dramatic aerial view of Iranian naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, halting oil tankers amid US-Israel tensions, with surging global oil prices.
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Iran blocks Strait of Hormuz amid escalation with US and Israel

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Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

The OPEC+ alliance is set to consider a larger-than-expected increase in oil supplies during its Sunday meeting, according to a delegate, following US and Israeli air strikes on targets inside Iran. This potential shift in production strategy comes amid military escalation threatening global energy flows. Israel’s Energy Ministry has ordered the temporary closure of several offshore natural gas fields due to security assessments.

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Brent crude futures for June opened at US$106 on March 22, 2026, up 0.1%, amid heightened US-Iran tensions threatening energy infrastructure in the Strait of Hormuz, exacerbating the ongoing Middle East oil crisis.

Crude oil prices have surpassed $100 per barrel amid stalled peace talks between the United States and Iran. Trade through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, with Iran seizing two ships and the US maintaining a naval blockade. Analysts warn of further price increases due to ongoing disruptions.

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TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné warned that France would enter an era of energy shortage if the Strait of Ormuz blockade lasts another two or three months. He called for strengthening supply chain resilience through investments in new pipelines. He made these remarks at a conference in Chantilly.

Three weeks after Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade began, oil prices surged another 8% above $100 a barrel as US-Iran peace talks collapsed and the US Navy imposed its own blockade to curb Iranian exports. The escalation heightens global supply fears, with President Trump warning of sustained high fuel prices through November's midterm elections.

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The Iran-Israel/US conflict has halted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway carrying one-fifth of global oil and LNG. Led by the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, Gulf countries are accelerating ports and pipelines to reduce reliance on this chokepoint. Experts say it will require years and significant investment.

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