OPEC+ announces oil production increase from June despite Ormuz blockade

The OPEC+ alliance announced an increase of 188,000 barrels per day in crude oil production starting June 2026. This adds to the 206,000 barrels rise announced in April. The blockade in the Strait of Ormuz, however, restricts its effect on global markets.

Following a virtual meeting after the United Arab Emirates' exit from the bloc, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria—OPEC members—along with Russia, Oman, and Kazakhstan announced the production hike.

In a joint statement, the countries said the decision "reaffirms their commitment to market stability". They added they will continue "supervising and closely evaluating market conditions in their ongoing efforts to support its stability".

The move aims to address oil price volatility amid geopolitical tensions. However, the unresolved conflict between Iran and the United States has blocked the Strait of Ormuz, preventing exports of Gulf crude.

While the increase is significant on paper, its impact on international markets could be limited as long as restrictions persist in this key strategic route.

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Dramatic photo-realistic image of U.S. warships blockading Iranian oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz as Iran's oil storage tanks overflow.
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U.S. Blockade Squeezes Iran’s Oil Exports as Storage Fills and Shutdown Risks Grow

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Iran’s ability to sell crude has come under mounting pressure since the United States began enforcing a naval blockade aimed at Iranian shipping in mid-April 2026, prompting warnings that storage could fill within weeks and that forced production cuts could damage older oil fields. Tehran has tied broader talks with Washington to changes in maritime restrictions as the standoff over the Strait of Hormuz drags on.

The United Arab Emirates and Japan have agreed to promote cooperation aimed at securing a stable crude oil supply amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

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Building on last week's surge past $100, crude oil prices crossed $110 per barrel on April 29 for an eighth straight session. The rally intensified on reports of possible U.S. plans to extend the naval blockade on Iranian ports, heightening fears of prolonged Middle East supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz.

Repsol chief executive Josu Jon Imaz warned Thursday of periods of complexity in petroleum product supplies across Europe in the coming weeks and months due to the closure of the Strait of Ormuz.

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Global oil prices are poised for their strongest monthly gain on record, with Brent crude nearing a 60% March surge due to the Iran war. US President Donald Trump indicated he is considering an exit from the conflict despite ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Tanker attacks continue to choke supplies.

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