São Paulo Gov. Tarcísio de Freitas shakes hands with new Casa Civil appointee Roberto Carneiro at a press event amid Bolsonaro supporter tensions.
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Tarcísio reshuffles Casa Civil amid Bolsonaro supporter crisis

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São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas replaced the Casa Civil head on January 22, appointing Roberto Carneiro in place of Arthur Lima, who shifts to Justice and Citizenship. The move follows tensions with Jair Bolsonaro supporters after canceling a prison visit and aims to bolster his re-election campaign.

Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) announced a high-level reshuffle in the São Paulo government on the night of January 22. Arthur Lima, a key ally, moved from the Casa Civil Secretariat to head the Justice and Citizenship portfolio, replacing Fábio Prieto. Roberto Carneiro, state president of the Republicanos (originally from Espírito Santo and former Casa Civil coordinator under ex-Governor Paulo Hartung), took Lima's position.

The change gives the Casa Civil a stronger political profile to coordinate Tarcísio's re-election bid, as he has stressed to allies. Carneiro maintains ties with Government Secretary Gilberto Kassab and Republicanos national president Marcos Pereira; the appointment may have been suggested by Kassab.

This follows a crisis with Bolsonaro supporters after Tarcísio canceled a visit to the imprisoned former president (at Papudinha since January 15), originally authorized by Justice Minister Alexandre de Moraes on January 20 and rescheduled for January 29 due to state commitments. The cancellation sparked speculation of Tarcísio's 2026 presidential ambitions, fueled by Michelle Bolsonaro sharing his anti-Lula video—interpreted as support over Flávio Bolsonaro, Jair's endorsed candidate. Tarcísio denied ambitions, stating 'My name is Flávio' and reaffirming re-election focus.

Lima had drawn criticism for delays in municipal funding. Prior Tarcísio-Bolsonaro meetings include September last year; a December visit was canceled due to the arrest. Bolsonaro's house arrest plea was denied by Gilmar Mendes. Part of ongoing tensions covered in this series.

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Initial reactions on X to São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas' reshuffle of the Casa Civil leadership amid tensions with Bolsonaro supporters are divided. Hardcore Bolsonaro supporters criticize Tarcísio for allegedly betraying the former president and aligning with centrão figures like Kassab, predicting political downfall similar to Doria. Defenders highlight his continued loyalty to Bolsonaro while prioritizing governance and re-election. News outlets report the changes factually, linking them to recent visit cancellation disputes.

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Illustration depicting Governor Tarcísio de Freitas canceling his prison visit to Jair Bolsonaro amid tensions with Flávio Bolsonaro.
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Tarcísio cancels visit to bolsonaro in prison amid tensions with flávio

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São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas canceled a planned visit to former President Jair Bolsonaro in prison on Thursday (22) to avoid what allies call a 'kiss of death'. The decision followed statements by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro about his presidential candidacy and expected support for it. The visit would have been the first since Flávio's announcement as Jair's candidate against Lula.

Following Jair Bolsonaro's transfer to Brasília's Papudinha facility, tensions erupted among his supporters over the 2026 elections, with public spats between backers of Flávio Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Tarcísio confirmed efforts for house arrest, but the move fueled clan divisions as allies push for candidacies.

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The dismissal of allies of former Security Secretary Guilherme Derrite has sparked tension between Bolsonaro supporters and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Flávio Bolsonaro's allies view the firings as a break and betrayal. At least 14 people linked to Derrite were removed by direct order from the governor.

Former president Jair Bolsonaro completes six months in prison on Wednesday (4), as allies push for his transfer to house arrest based on medical reports and STF jurisprudence. The decision rests with Minister Alexandre de Moraes, amid political tensions and concerns over the 70-year-old convict's health. The campaign includes efforts by Michelle Bolsonaro and Tarcísio de Freitas, plus expectations for a medical report due this week.

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Tarcísio de Freitas' government in São Paulo withheld resource transfers to municipalities in 2025, frustrating allies in a pre-electoral year. Despite late releases, mayors are pressuring for more funds amid fiscal challenges. The state highlights direct investments as an alternative.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro stated he will only withdraw his pre-candidacy for the 2026 presidency if former President Jair Bolsonaro is released and can run in the elections. In an interview with Record, he described the 'price' as justice for his father and supporters, while praising the positive reaction from Governor Tarcísio de Freitas to the news. The statement comes amid polls showing low initial support for his candidacy.

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Right-wing governors met in Rio de Janeiro on October 30, 2025, to support the police operation against Comando Vermelho that left 121 dead in the Alemão and Penha complexes. They announced the creation of the 'Peace Consortium' to integrate public security actions and criticized the federal government. São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas joined remotely and advocated classifying factions as terrorists.

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