UNESCO warns of inevitable Mediterranean tsunami risk

Scientists have highlighted a significant tsunami threat to the French Riviera and other Mediterranean coastlines, with UNESCO stating a 100 percent chance of a wave at least one meter high within the next 30 years from 2022.

The Mediterranean Sea holds the second-highest number of recorded historical tsunamis after the Pacific, with around 20 incidents along the French Riviera from the 16th century to the early 2000s. Notable events include the 1979 Nice tsunami triggered by an underwater collapse, which killed eight people, and effects from the 2003 Boumerdès earthquake in Algeria that reached French shores in about 75 minutes.

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Illustration of 7.6 magnitude earthquake aftermath near Bitung, with shaking buildings in Manado, evacuating residents, and rising tsunami waves.
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Magnitude 7.6 earthquake hits near Bitung, tsunami warning issued

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A magnitude 7.6 earthquake struck waters near Bitung, North Sulawesi, on Thursday morning at 06:48 Wita, triggering an early tsunami warning for North Sulawesi and North Maluku. Strong shaking was felt as far as Manado and Gorontalo, resulting in two casualties in Manado. BMKG confirmed the location at 1.25 N, 126.27 E, depth 62 km.

A huge landslide in Alaska's Tracy Arm fjord on 10 August 2025 generated the second-largest tsunami ever recorded, with waves reaching 481 metres high. The event displaced 64 million cubic metres of rock and created a 5.4 magnitude seismic signal.

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A new analysis reveals that most studies on coastal vulnerability have underestimated current sea levels by an average of 24 to 27 centimetres because they overlooked key oceanographic factors. This methodological blind spot means that flooding and erosion risks will materialize sooner than previously projected, potentially affecting millions more people by 2100. Researchers from Wageningen University highlight the need for better integration of sea-level data in climate impact assessments.

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