January ISE falls below 2% for first time in 11 months

Colombia's January 2026 ISE grew by 1.55%, dipping below 2% for the first time in 11 months. Andi warned that public spending remains the main driver, while productive sectors like mining and industry deteriorate. Tertiary activities led growth at 2.7%.

The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's January 2026 Economic Tracking Indicator (ISE) reached 1.55%, adjusted for calendar effects to 1.45%. This marks a slowdown from January 2025's 2.0% and falls below the historical average of 3.5%. Primary activities (agriculture, mining, and hydrocarbons) declined by -2.4%, and secondary activities (manufacturing and construction) by -1.0%. In contrast, tertiary activities grew 2.7%, driven by public administration, health, and recreation (4.5%), electricity, gas, and water supply (3.1%), and commerce, transport, and accommodation (2.6%).. Colombia's National Association of Entrepreneurs (Andi) highlighted a 'structural weakening' of the economy, with public spending as the main driver. Andi president Bruce Mac Master stated: «The challenge for this year is to recover dynamism in the main productive sectors, such as mining, hydrocarbons, construction, or industry».. Mac Master added that exogenous factors must be managed, but the Government needs to send «signals of confidence to guarantee conditions that allow reactivating investment, production, and confidence».. In manufacturing, the -1% drop aligns with Dane surveys showing negative balances in production (-0.5%) and sales (-0.7%). For mining, drilling rig activity in December 2025 fell seven units from the 117 peak in December 2023, with stable projections for Q1 2026..

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Illustration of a Colombian factory during industrial production decline in January 2026, with workers reviewing falling output charts.
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Colombia's industrial production falls 0.5% in January 2026

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

In the latest update in Colombia's Monthly ISE Reports series, the Indicador de Seguimiento a la Economía (ISE) for February 2026 grew 1.65%, according to Dane—marking the second consecutive month below 2%, following January's 1.55%. Tertiary activities led with 2.55% growth, offsetting a 2.08% drop in primary sectors.

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Colombia's manufacturing production rose 1.4% in February 2026 compared to the previous year, but real sales fell 2.5%, according to Dane data. Andi president Bruce Mac Master said the figures show stagnation and that the sector has yet to take off. Employed personnel dropped 0.4%.

Fedesarrollo reported that its Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (Ipec) stood at 252 points in March, a drop of 46 points from February. The figure marks 90 consecutive months above the historical average observed from 2000 to 2019.

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Preliminary February 2026 data point to a loss of momentum in the Mexican economy after a promising January start. Car sales dipped slightly and formal employment grew weakly, though there are no signs of recession.

The Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE) reported that Colombia's unemployment rate fell to 8.8% in March 2026—the lowest for any March since 2001, continuing the downward trend from 10.9% in January and 9.2% in February—with 2.34 million people unemployed (down 174,000). This marks a 0.8 percentage point drop from 9.6% in March 2025. The employed population grew by 650,000 (2.7%), while the January-March quarter rate stood at 9.6%. Neiva ranked among cities with the lowest unemployment.

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Colombia's oil production dropped 3% in January 2026 year-on-year to 746,400 barrels per day from 769,800 the previous year, according to Campetrol. Compared to December, it fell 0.1%, or 7,000 barrels, with the sharpest declines in Casanare.

 

 

 

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