January ISE falls below 2% for first time in 11 months

Colombia's January 2026 ISE grew by 1.55%, dipping below 2% for the first time in 11 months. Andi warned that public spending remains the main driver, while productive sectors like mining and industry deteriorate. Tertiary activities led growth at 2.7%.

The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's January 2026 Economic Tracking Indicator (ISE) reached 1.55%, adjusted for calendar effects to 1.45%. This marks a slowdown from January 2025's 2.0% and falls below the historical average of 3.5%. Primary activities (agriculture, mining, and hydrocarbons) declined by -2.4%, and secondary activities (manufacturing and construction) by -1.0%. In contrast, tertiary activities grew 2.7%, driven by public administration, health, and recreation (4.5%), electricity, gas, and water supply (3.1%), and commerce, transport, and accommodation (2.6%).. Colombia's National Association of Entrepreneurs (Andi) highlighted a 'structural weakening' of the economy, with public spending as the main driver. Andi president Bruce Mac Master stated: «The challenge for this year is to recover dynamism in the main productive sectors, such as mining, hydrocarbons, construction, or industry».. Mac Master added that exogenous factors must be managed, but the Government needs to send «signals of confidence to guarantee conditions that allow reactivating investment, production, and confidence».. In manufacturing, the -1% drop aligns with Dane surveys showing negative balances in production (-0.5%) and sales (-0.7%). For mining, drilling rig activity in December 2025 fell seven units from the 117 peak in December 2023, with stable projections for Q1 2026..

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Illustration of a Colombian factory during industrial production decline in January 2026, with workers reviewing falling output charts.
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Colombia's industrial production falls 0.5% in January 2026

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

In the latest update in Colombia's Monthly ISE Reports series, the Indicador de Seguimiento a la Economía (ISE) for February 2026 grew 1.65%, according to Dane—marking the second consecutive month below 2%, following January's 1.55%. Tertiary activities led with 2.55% growth, offsetting a 2.08% drop in primary sectors.

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Colombia's manufacturing production rose 1.4% in February 2026 compared to the previous year, but real sales fell 2.5%, according to Dane data. Andi president Bruce Mac Master said the figures show stagnation and that the sector has yet to take off. Employed personnel dropped 0.4%.

Colombia's unemployment rate fell to 10.9% in January 2026, according to Dane, marking a 0.8 percentage point improvement from January 2025. Andi president Bruce Mac Master questioned the one-point drop in informality and noted that job growth was driven by non-salaried positions.

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Colombia's January inflation hit 1.18% monthly, exceeding historical averages and highlighting the broad impact of the minimum wage increase on the IPC basket. The services component drove the uptick, with an annual variation of 6.33%. This breaks two months of moderation, pushing annual inflation to 5.35%.

Colombia's exports reached US$4.211.6 million in February, up 11.4%, according to the Dane. Non-monetary gold and the agricultural sector drove the rise, while fuels, coal, and manufacturing saw declines.

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Dane reported Bogotá's GDP grew 4.6% in Q3 2025 year-on-year, surpassing Colombia's national figure of 3.6% from the same period in 2024. Growth was fueled by commerce, transport, and services sectors. Year-to-date through Q3, the capital's GDP expanded 3.9%.

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