Economic policy uncertainty index stands at 252 points in March

Kiswahili

Fedesarrollo reported that its Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (Ipec) stood at 252 points in March, a drop of 46 points from February. The figure marks 90 consecutive months above the historical average observed from 2000 to 2019.

The index, which tracks economic policy uncertainty in Colombia by counting related terms in media news, fell from 298 points in February. It rose 30 points compared to March last year.

News coverage in March focused mainly on economic, social, and geopolitical policy at 44.6%, followed by economic activity at 26.8% and other topics at 12.5%. From February, economic activity's share rose by 8.4 percentage points, while security declined by 6.8 points.

Versus March 2025, economic activity increased 17.4 percentage points, and economic, social, and geopolitical policy contracted 12.0 points. Fedesarrollo releases this monthly indicator with a sectoral focus.

Makala yanayohusiana

Illustration depicting Argentina's February economic decline with falling graphs, closed factories, and empty shops in Buenos Aires.
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Economic activity fell 2.6% in February, according to INDEC

Imeripotiwa na AI Picha iliyoundwa na AI

Argentina's monthly economic activity estimator (EMAE) recorded a 2.1% year-over-year drop and a 2.6% seasonally adjusted decline in February 2026, INDEC reported. Manufacturing industry contracted 8.7% and commerce 7.0% year-over-year.

Commercial confidence rises 0.2% in March as industrial falls, Fedesarrollo says

Fedesarrollo's March business opinion survey showed the commercial confidence index at 22.8%, up 0.2 percentage points from February, thanks to reduced inventories. In contrast, the industrial confidence index fell 3.2 points into negative territory amid lower production expectations.

Private estimates predict economic rebound in March after February drop

Imeripotiwa na AI

After a 2.6% drop in economic activity in February, according to INDEC, private consultancies estimate a March recovery driven by agriculture. Equilibra forecasts a 1.5% year-on-year rise and 1% monthly desesasonalized. The first quarter would end with 0.4% growth versus 2025.

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Manufacturing production rises 1.4% in February despite sales drop

Colombia's manufacturing production rose 1.4% in February 2026 compared to the previous year, but real sales fell 2.5%, according to Dane data. Andi president Bruce Mac Master said the figures show stagnation and that the sector has yet to take off. Employed personnel dropped 0.4%.

Colombia's February unemployment rate drops to 9.2%

Imeripotiwa na AI

Dane reported Colombia's February 2026 unemployment rate at 9.2%, the lowest for any February since 2001, with 2.45 million unemployed people. Occupied population rose to 24.09 million, up 624,000 from February 2025. President Gustavo Petro and Labor Minister Antonio Sanguino hailed the figures and defended the minimum wage increase.

IMF cuts global growth forecast to 3.1% for 2026

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global growth of 3.1% for 2026, a 0.2 percentage point downward revision from prior estimates, due to the Middle East conflict. Global inflation would rise to 4.4% from higher energy costs. In adverse scenarios, growth could drop to near 2% with inflation near 6%.

Ecopetrol and Cibest shares lead investors' preferences in April

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Fedesarrollo and BVC's Financial Opinion Survey showed Ecopetrol's ordinary share and Cibest's shares as the most sought-after by analysts in April, with 41.7% selections. Analysts expect the intervention rate to range from 11.7% to 12% through July. They also foresee appreciation in the MSCI Colcap index over the next three months.

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Argentina's country risk closes April at 567 basis points

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Colombia's February 2026 ISE grows 1.65%, second month below 2%

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Luis Caputo estimates March inflation above 3%

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Chilean economy contracts 0.3% in February per Central Bank Imacec

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January ISE falls below 2% for first time in 11 months

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Colombia's inflation eases to 5.29% in February 2026

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Colombia's January unemployment rate falls to 10.9%

 

 

 

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