Grupo Cibest warns of high informality in Colombian labor market

Grupo Cibest warned of high labor informality and vulnerable self-employment in Colombia, despite job creation recovery. Dane data showed an unemployment rate of 8.8% in March. The report highlights challenges including 55.6% informality and wage growth without productivity gains.

After Dane reported 2.34 million unemployed in March with an 8.8% rate, Grupo Cibest stated that challenges like high informality and vulnerable self-employment persist despite rising occupation.

Job creation recovered, rising from about 112,000 new monthly posts to around 740,000 since 2025. The national unemployment rate averaged 8.9% in 2025, the lowest on record, with new lows in early 2026 months. These outcomes partly stem from rising inactive population and remittances, keeping the Global Participation Rate below its historical average.

Informality stood at 55.6% in the year to March, at 44% in major cities and nearly 85% in rural areas. Sectors like agriculture, construction, trade, and services hold over 70% informal employment. Self-employed workers account for about 41%, with a significant portion lacking job stability or social protection; independents contributing to social security without contracts make up nearly 23% and grew in 2026.

Public employment rose from a historical 11.8% average to 12.2%, with 9.7% annual growth in the first quarter, tied to higher operating expenses and the election cycle. Incomes rose 13.1% for formal workers and 9.3% for informal ones in early 2026 months, but without evident productivity improvements amid inflationary pressures.

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Illustration of joyful diverse Colombian workers celebrating the unemployment rate drop to 8.8%, featuring job signs, graphs, and national flag.
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Colombia's unemployment rate drops to 8.8% in March 2026

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The Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE) reported that Colombia's unemployment rate fell to 8.8% in March 2026—the lowest for any March since 2001, continuing the downward trend from 10.9% in January and 9.2% in February—with 2.34 million people unemployed (down 174,000). This marks a 0.8 percentage point drop from 9.6% in March 2025. The employed population grew by 650,000 (2.7%), while the January-March quarter rate stood at 9.6%. Neiva ranked among cities with the lowest unemployment.

Colombia's unemployment rate fell to 10.9% in January 2026, according to Dane, marking a 0.8 percentage point improvement from January 2025. Andi president Bruce Mac Master questioned the one-point drop in informality and noted that job growth was driven by non-salaried positions.

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DANE reported a 10.9% unemployment rate for January 2026, the lowest in recent history for a first month of the year, despite a 23% minimum wage increase. Informality dropped to 55%, and the employed population grew by 324,000 people. Yet, these official figures are sparking political polarization.

Asocajas held its Gran Foro de Protección Social on April 8, where experts discussed Colombia's high labor informality and the need for macroeconomic solutions. David Escobar Arango, president of Asocajas' Board, opened the event noting that formal employment is stagnant despite falling unemployment. Panelists including José Ignacio López of Anif, María Claudia Lacouture of Aliadas, and César Giraldo of Banco de la República addressed minimum wage and inflation.

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's economy grew 2.6% in 2025, below expectations of 2.8%. In the fourth quarter, GDP expanded 2.3%, driven by household consumption, the public sector, and cultural activities like concerts. Investment fell 2.9%, the lowest level in two decades.

Piedad Urdinola, director of Dane, presented preliminary results from the 2024 National Urban Economic Census, identifying around two million economic units in Colombia's urban areas. This census, the first in 34 years, highlights concentration in commerce and services, as well as regional gaps. The data will update public policies and statistical frameworks.

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's annual inflation for February 2026 was 5.29%, a slight slowdown from January's 5.35%. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) variation stood at 1.08%, driven by rises in education and food. This figure remains above the Central Bank's target range of 3%.

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