Ecopetrol, GEB and Cibest lead investor appetite in May

A Fedesarrollo survey revealed that shares of Ecopetrol, Grupo Energía de Bogotá and Grupo Cibest were the most preferred by analysts in the MSCI Colcap index during May.

Fedesarrollo’s Financial Opinion Survey showed that 46.2 percent of respondents picked the ordinary shares of Ecopetrol and Grupo Energía de Bogotá as the most attractive. The preferred shares of Grupo Cibest received 38.5 percent of the preferences.

The oil sector saw a sharp rise in interest. It increased from 41.7 percent in April to 84.6 percent in May. In contrast, the financial sector fell from over 100 percent to 76.9 percent.

On valuation, 79.1 percent of analysts expect an increase over the next three months. This outlook rose more than 16 percentage points from the previous month.

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Illustration of Ecopetrol's Q1 2026 profits with oil facilities, charts, and Colombian elements for a news article.
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Ecopetrol reports $2.8 trillion profit in first quarter

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Colombian state oil company Ecopetrol announced profits of $2.8 trillion and revenues of $28.6 trillion for the first quarter of 2026. Earnings fell 7.7% from the same period in 2025. The Ebitda margin reached 47%.

Fedesarrollo and BVC's Financial Opinion Survey showed Ecopetrol's ordinary share and Cibest's shares as the most sought-after by analysts in April, with 41.7% selections. Analysts expect the intervention rate to range from 11.7% to 12% through July. They also foresee appreciation in the MSCI Colcap index over the next three months.

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The state oil company reported profits of 2.88 trillion pesos in the first quarter of 2026, a 7.7% drop from the prior year. Its shares closed down 1.62% and ranked among the ten most devalued of the session.

Union Asopetrol warned that Ecopetrol faces financial suffocation from its first-quarter 2026 profit drop. High taxes and peso revaluation were cited as key factors.

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Oil and gas production in Colombia fell 2.7% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, according to a Campetrol report. The hydrocarbons sector, which includes refining, grew 0.4% over the same period.

President Gustavo Petro blamed the Banco de la República's high interest rates for the housing sector's contraction, which has seen 10 consecutive quarters of decline. The leader stated that these positive and growing real rates have prevented users from affording payments. Analysts, however, emphasize the drop in social interest housing as the main factor.

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Colombia's oil production dropped 3% in January 2026 year-on-year to 746,400 barrels per day from 769,800 the previous year, according to Campetrol. Compared to December, it fell 0.1%, or 7,000 barrels, with the sharpest declines in Casanare.

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