Ecopetrol and Cibest shares lead investors' preferences in April

Fedesarrollo and BVC's Financial Opinion Survey showed Ecopetrol's ordinary share and Cibest's shares as the most sought-after by analysts in April, with 41.7% selections. Analysts expect the intervention rate to range from 11.7% to 12% through July. They also foresee appreciation in the MSCI Colcap index over the next three months.

The Financial Opinion Survey (EOF) by Fedesarrollo and Colombia's Stock Exchange (BVC) pinpointed the most attractive stocks for investors in April. Ecopetrol's ordinary share and Cibest's ordinary and preferred shares topped the list, chosen by 41.7% of surveyed analysts.

Grupo de Energía de Bogotá (GEB) and Celsia's ordinary shares followed, each with 33.3% preference. The report notes rising interest in energy, financial, and holding sector stocks compared to last month, offset by declining appetite for petroleum, construction, and consumer sectors.

For the MSCI Colcap index, 62.5% of analysts expect appreciation within three months, 20.8% stability, and 16.7% depreciation. Sociopolitical conditions ranked as the top investment factor for 46.2% of respondents, followed by monetary policy (29.9%) and fiscal policy (15.4%).

Portfolio managers increased preferences for assets like IPC-indexed private debt, UVR TES, and local stocks, while interest waned in commodities and IBR-indexed debt.

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Dramatic illustration of Ecopetrol board deliberating CEO Ricardo Roa's fate amid union protests and probes.
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Ecopetrol board to decide Ricardo Roa's future on March 30

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Ecopetrol's board will meet on March 30 to decide if Ricardo Roa remains CEO amid judicial probes and pressure from the USO union and President Gustavo Petro. Four of nine members backed his dismissal in Tuesday's meeting, with no decision reached. The oil workers' union USO threatens strike if he is not removed.

Ecopetrol shares closed at $2,685 on the BVC, their highest since October 2023, and the ADR hit US$14.62, a high not seen since June 2022. This comes amid the crisis over president Ricardo Roa's indictment for alleged influence peddling. The USO union demands his removal and threatens a strike.

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Ecopetrol's stock dropped 4.09% to close at $2,580 on the Bolsa de Valores de Colombia (BVC), with its ADR falling 4.01% to US$14.12. The decline followed a plunge in oil prices after a two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. It comes alongside the board's decision for a temporary exit of president Ricardo Roa.

President Gustavo Petro blamed the Banco de la República's high interest rates for the housing sector's contraction, which has seen 10 consecutive quarters of decline. The leader stated that these positive and growing real rates have prevented users from affording payments. Analysts, however, emphasize the drop in social interest housing as the main factor.

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Ecopetrol reported $23.8 billion in contracts for goods and services in 2025, a 4.8% increase from 2024. Of that amount, 96% went to national providers, bolstering the local industry. The approach aims to support projects and operations across various regions of the country.

Grupo Éxito's General Shareholders' Assembly approved the new board of directors for 2026-2028, following a candidate selection process in February. The meeting also approved 2025 financial results and a utilities distribution including $160 per share dividends.

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Colombia's oil production dropped 3% in January 2026 year-on-year to 746,400 barrels per day from 769,800 the previous year, according to Campetrol. Compared to December, it fell 0.1%, or 7,000 barrels, with the sharpest declines in Casanare.

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