Ecopetrol shares rise despite president's crisis

Ecopetrol shares closed at $2,685 on the BVC, their highest since October 2023, and the ADR hit US$14.62, a high not seen since June 2022. This comes amid the crisis over president Ricardo Roa's indictment for alleged influence peddling. The USO union demands his removal and threatens a strike.

Ecopetrol shares posted significant gains despite uncertainty over its president, Ricardo Roa. The stock closed at $2,685 on the Colombia Stock Exchange (BVC), its highest since October 2023, while the ADR reached US$14.62, not seen since June 2022. Analysts attribute this rebound mainly to international oil prices, which directly impact the Colombian state oil company's earnings. Felipe Campos, strategy and investments manager at Alianza, explained: “Here there is a fundamental driver and it is that the oil price has a huge influence on Ecopetrol's earnings.” He added that a sustained $20 increase in the average crude price could double the company's profits, likening it to regional peers like Petrobras. Campos noted that factors like politics and corporate governance are secondary to oil, though the market has already discounted deterioration in these areas. Juan Pablo Vieira, president of JP Tactical, stated that the rise boosts revenues, profits, and state fiscal resources via taxes, royalties, and dividends, while strengthening the Colombian peso and Colcap index. However, Vieira criticized Roa's situation, indicted by Colombia's Attorney General early in March 2026 for alleged influence peddling in buying a luxury apartment in Bogotá from an oil executive. Vieira said: “The president of the state company must leave the position and allow the company to proceed without being tarnished by the charges against him.” Roa also faces accusations of violating spending limits in Gustavo Petro's 2022 presidential campaign, fined over $5 billion COP (US$1.4 million). The Unión Sindical Obrera (USO) demanded the board remove Roa, arguing investigations worsen risks to the company's operations and strategy. USO president Martín Ravelo told Blu Radio that if Roa stays, the union will “mobilize workers” and consider a strike. In January, former USO leader César Loza joined the board.

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Dramatic illustration of Ecopetrol board deliberating CEO Ricardo Roa's fate amid union protests and probes.
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Ecopetrol board to decide Ricardo Roa's future on March 30

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Ecopetrol's board will meet on March 30 to decide if Ricardo Roa remains CEO amid judicial probes and pressure from the USO union and President Gustavo Petro. Four of nine members backed his dismissal in Tuesday's meeting, with no decision reached. The oil workers' union USO threatens strike if he is not removed.

Ecopetrol shares dropped 4.96% to $2,680 on the Colombia Stock Exchange on March 24, as the board debates Ricardo Roa's future as president after his imputation for alleged influence peddling. The USO union threatened a national strike if he is not removed. Analysts criticize the timing amid high oil prices.

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Ecopetrol's stock hit the highest price of the day on Colombia's Stock Exchange (BVC), surging 5.21% to $2,020. The rise is mainly linked to a 1.68% increase in Brent crude prices and events in Venezuela. Analysts also point to regional market trends and OPEC decisions.

President Gustavo Petro defended Colombia's transition to clean energies, stating that oil exploration contracts from the last decade have not found large amounts of oil. He insisted on lowering the real interest rate to boost the economy. He highlighted advances like investments in solar substations and potential exports.

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The US dollar closed lower in Colombia by $25.87, reaching $3,792.06, driven by massive TES bond sales and the declaration of an economic emergency for 2026. This decline occurs amid fiscal tensions and expectations of rate cuts in the US. Meanwhile, oil prices rise due to tensions in Venezuela.

The Colombian dollar closed higher at $3,657.14 in Next Day mode, driven by the US Presidents' Day holiday. Meanwhile, oil prices showed minimal variations, with Brent falling 0.3% to US$67.52 per barrel and WTI to US$62.72. Trading activity was moderate due to closures for holidays in several global markets.

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Financial markets shrug off the US military intervention in Venezuela and the capture of Nicolás Maduro, as the Ibex 35 surpasses 17,600 points. European and US stock indices rise moderately, while oil prices climb 1%. Investors choose caution amid geopolitical risks.

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