Analyst predicts fuel price relief might be on the cards

Analysts expect fuel prices in South Africa to fall significantly due to declining global oil prices and a stronger rand. The Central Energy Fund forecasts petrol prices could drop by up to R2,94 per litre and diesel by as much as R4,97.

Brent crude oil prices have fallen sharply in recent days and stand at around 73 dollars per barrel. This decline, combined with rand strength, underpins expectations for lower fuel costs.

Chief Economist at Efficient Group Dawie Roodt noted the finance minister may keep the fuel levy high initially to recover tax revenue. He added that prices could fall further in coming months if oil stays low and the rand strengthens.

Roodt said the medium-term outlook remains positive, with oil potentially dropping below 70 dollars and the rand trading below R16 to the US dollar.

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German gas station at midnight displaying reduced petrol and diesel prices after the government's 17-cent-per-litre tax cut takes effect.
صورة مولدة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي

Fuel tax cut on petrol and diesel takes effect

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي صورة مولدة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي

The German government's fuel discount took effect at midnight. Taxes on petrol and diesel drop by about 17 cents per litre for two months. It remains unclear how quickly pump prices will reflect the cut.

South African petrol prices will rise by R3.06 per litre to R23.25 inland from midnight on 1 April, while diesel reaches a record R26.11 per litre after a R7.51 increase. The hike stems from global oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel amid the Iran war and a weakened rand. A temporary R3 per litre reduction in the fuel levy cushions the impact.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

Petrol prices in South Africa will increase by 14% and diesel by nearly 24% from Wednesday, 6 May, due to the ongoing Iran war. The Department of Mineral Resources and Petroleum (DMPR) announced the hikes amid rising global Brent crude prices. Temporary fuel levy reductions offer some relief.

Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

Diesel prices in Metro Manila could drop to P70 to P90 per liter next week. Local fuel retailers are expected to implement fresh rollbacks following progress in Middle East peace talks.

Diesel and kerosene prices may decrease by more than P11 per liter today, the Department of Energy said, though some oil companies chose smaller cuts.

من إعداد الذكاء الاصطناعي

Kenya's government has spent more than Ksh 11 billion in two months to keep diesel and kerosene prices steady. The move has raised questions because kerosene makes up less than 1 per cent of national fuel use.

 

 

 

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