The World Meteorological Organization has announced a 90 percent chance of El Niño emerging in the second half of this year and affecting Kenya.
On Tuesday the World Meteorological Organization announced a 90 percent chance that El Niño will emerge in the second half of this year. Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said the world should prepare for a strong El Niño that could increase drought heavy rains and heatwaves. The 2023-2024 El Niño was among the five strongest ever recorded globally and contributed to high temperatures in 2024. In Kenya experts expect average to below-average rainfall in June July and August especially in western areas and the Rift Valley. At the same time above-normal temperatures are expected across the country. Climate scientist Dr Chris Kiptum said heavy rains are expected at the end of the year and could cause flooding in urban areas. Experts warn that impacts will also depend on the Indian Ocean Dipole and urge early preparations to reduce damage.