Analysts project year-end inflation at 6.32% and rates at 12.25%

The Banco de la República released its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations, forecasting year-end inflation at 6.32% and interest rates at 12.25%. These projections mark an upward revision from March. Experts anticipate a gradual moderation in subsequent years.

The Banco de la República published the results of its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations. The poll indicates year-end inflation at 6.32%, up from the 5.45% projected in March. For November, the forecast rose from 6.26% to 6.32%, with 5.70% expected in March 2027 and 4.23% in March 2028.

For inflation excluding food, analysts project 5.45% in April and 6.21% by year-end. Excluding food and regulated items, the cost of living is seen reaching 5.84% in April and peaking at 6.31% in December, settling at 4.60% by April 2028.

On monetary policy, the interest rate is expected to stand at 12.25%, above the previous month's 11.75% estimate. It would decline to 10.25% by December next year, signaling potential moderation in the current cycle.

These expectations highlight ongoing dynamics between the National Government and the Banco de la República's Board of Directors.

Relaterede artikler

Illustration of central bank analysts reviewing inflation and exchange rate forecasts.
Billede genereret af AI

Central Bank projects 2.3% inflation for May and dollar at 1,422 in June

Rapporteret af AI Billede genereret af AI

The Central Bank's Market Expectations Survey adjusted its forecasts for inflation and the exchange rate in 2026.

Services inflation excluding rent reached 9.1% in May, driven by the 23% minimum wage hike. Market expectations for end-2026 rose to 6.5%.

Rapporteret af AI

Colombia’s Banco de la República raised interest rates to 12 percent on June 30, 2026, an increase of 75 basis points from 11.25 percent. The decision came during the central bank’s penultimate meeting of the year.

June's inflation figure of 1.9% strengthens expectations of a sustained slowdown, according to economist Pablo Das Neves.

Rapporteret af AI

Banco de la República general manager Leonardo Villar said monetary policy will keep rates high until inflation returns to the 2%-4% target range. The move followed the board's latest meeting.

Dette websted bruger cookies

Vi bruger cookies til analyse for at forbedre vores side. Læs vores privatlivspolitik for mere information.
Afvis