Gold prices eye 2% weekly drop amid West Asia conflict and oil surge

In the ongoing West Asia conflict—now including heightened Iran-US tensions—gold prices were nearly flat on Friday but headed for a 2% weekly loss. Surging oil prices continue to drive inflation fears and expectations of prolonged high interest rates, tempering safe-haven demand.

Building on earlier declines since the West Asia war erupted late February, gold futures showed minimal movement but are tracking a roughly 2% weekly drop. Skyrocketing crude oil has intensified inflation concerns, prompting traders to bet on sustained elevated interest rates, which weigh on non-yielding gold. Reports from The Economic Times highlight impacts on MCX gold futures and central bank reserves amid persistent market volatility.

Gold's safe-haven status remains challenged by these dynamics, despite geopolitical risks from the Iran-US conflict. Analysts from LKP Securities and others foresee near-term volatility but long-term upside from central bank purchases and global uncertainties. No immediate price targets were specified.

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Despite the ongoing war in West Asia battering global markets, gold prices in domestic and global markets are down around 27% from their January peak. Even after a nearly 2% rally over the last couple of days, high crude oil prices are fueling inflation fears, curbing safe-haven demand for gold. The US dollar has emerged as the preferred safe asset.

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Gold prices have declined for a second consecutive week. Rising oil costs and worries over potential U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes are weighing on the metal's appeal.

Global financial markets reacted on Monday to renewed surges in oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continuing the economic ripple effects first seen after the Iran conflict and Hormuz blockade earlier this year.

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Egypt's 21-karat gold prices climbed 4.74% to EGP 7,175 per gram by week's end, driven by a global rally and U.S. dollar fluctuations against the Egyptian pound. Ehab Wassef, head of the Gold and Precious Metals Division at the Federation of Egyptian Industries, said the local market was directly influenced by international trends and geopolitical tensions.

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