Mexican peso appreciates due to Trump's pressures on the Fed

The Mexican peso ended Monday's session with gains due to the dollar's weakening, driven by tensions from Donald Trump's government against the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The exchange rate stood at 17.9188 pesos per dollar, a 0.36% advance. Analysts attribute this movement to concerns over the Fed's independence.

The US currency showed weakness stemming from Donald Trump's ongoing criticisms of Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chairman, for not cutting interest rates further. These political pressures raised concerns about the Fed's independence, benefiting the appreciation of several emerging currencies, including the Mexican peso.

According to Banco de México data, the spot exchange rate closed at 17.9188 pesos per dollar, equivalent to a gain of 6.48 centavos or 0.36% from the previous close. Janneth Quiroz, director of economic and foreign exchange analysis at Monex, stated: “The USD/MXN exchange rate showed a downward bias due to the weakening of the US bill, amid political tensions and concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence.”

The dollar index (DXY), which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.27% to 98.60 points. Similarly, the Bloomberg dollar index dropped 0.22% to 1,209.05 points. In bank teller windows, Banamex reported the dollar at 18.39 pesos for sale.

Other appreciating currencies include the Chilean peso by 1.06%, the Russian ruble by 0.73%, and the Thai baht by 0.61%. In the bond market, the US 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.19%, while Mexico's was at 9.10%. This movement underscores the forex markets' sensitivity to political interventions in US monetary policy.

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Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

The Mexican peso closed the trading day on Friday, February 6, with a 0.85% appreciation, settling at 17.2592 pesos per dollar, driven by global USD weakness and Banxico's decision to keep its rate at 7%. Analysts note this strength could hold in the 17.00-18.00 pesos range through the first quarter.

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The Mexican peso started the week with a slight depreciation against the dollar, closing at 17.1588 pesos per dollar on February 16, 2026, due to low liquidity levels from the U.S. holiday. This 0.08 percent drop occurred amid closed U.S. stock markets for Presidents' Day. Analysts indicate there is still room for the exchange rate to fall further, though the market takes profits near 17.11 pesos.

The Philippine peso closed at a record low of P60.10 against the US dollar on Thursday, March 19, amid surging global oil prices from the Middle East conflict. The weakening currency raises costs for imports, especially oil which the country heavily relies on.

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The Colombian peso appreciated 18.3% against the dollar in 2025, ranking as the fourth strongest emerging currency of the year. This strength was driven by a globally weakened dollar and local factors like remittances and exports. The exchange rate dropped from a high of $4,416.69 in April to a low of $3,706.94 in December.

Marcelo Ebrard, secretary of Economy, stated that Mexico will improve its relative position against the United States due to Donald Trump's announced 10 percent global tariff. The official noted that the average effective tariffs on Mexican exports will drop from 4.1 percent to around 2 percent. Meanwhile, Mexico's inflation rose to 3.92 percent in the first half of February, driven by new taxes and tariffs on Asian imports.

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Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) reported annual inflation at 4.63% for the first half of March 2026, exceeding analysts' estimates. The National Consumer Price Index (INPC) rose 0.62% from the previous half-month period.

 

 

 

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