Mexican peso appreciates due to Trump's pressures on the Fed

The Mexican peso ended Monday's session with gains due to the dollar's weakening, driven by tensions from Donald Trump's government against the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The exchange rate stood at 17.9188 pesos per dollar, a 0.36% advance. Analysts attribute this movement to concerns over the Fed's independence.

The US currency showed weakness stemming from Donald Trump's ongoing criticisms of Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chairman, for not cutting interest rates further. These political pressures raised concerns about the Fed's independence, benefiting the appreciation of several emerging currencies, including the Mexican peso.

According to Banco de México data, the spot exchange rate closed at 17.9188 pesos per dollar, equivalent to a gain of 6.48 centavos or 0.36% from the previous close. Janneth Quiroz, director of economic and foreign exchange analysis at Monex, stated: “The USD/MXN exchange rate showed a downward bias due to the weakening of the US bill, amid political tensions and concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence.”

The dollar index (DXY), which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.27% to 98.60 points. Similarly, the Bloomberg dollar index dropped 0.22% to 1,209.05 points. In bank teller windows, Banamex reported the dollar at 18.39 pesos for sale.

Other appreciating currencies include the Chilean peso by 1.06%, the Russian ruble by 0.73%, and the Thai baht by 0.61%. In the bond market, the US 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.19%, while Mexico's was at 9.10%. This movement underscores the forex markets' sensitivity to political interventions in US monetary policy.

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Trading floor scene illustrating Colombian peso's 1.36% drop amid regional currency gains and January volatility.
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Colombian peso decouples from peers amid January volatility

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Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

Continuing its strong run from last week when it first approached 18 per dollar, the Mexican peso edged up 0.02% to close at 17.99 against the US dollar on December 19, following a 25 basis point cut by the Bank of Mexico. Bank quotes show the dollar at 18.47, with analysts eyeing potential corrections amid rising dollar strength.

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Despite the Candlemas Day holiday, the Mexican peso gained ground against the dollar in electronic trading, appreciating by 0.32 percent. The exchange rate stood at 17.40 units per dollar, two cents lower than the Bank of Mexico's close from the previous Friday. Analysts warn of a potential correction due to the peso's overbought status in January.

The blue dollar closed higher on October 28, rising 15 pesos to 1470 pesos in sales, as the Central Bank's reserves fell by 288 million dollars. Other exchange rates, such as MEP and CCL, also saw slight variations. The Central Bank did not intervene in the foreign exchange market during the day.

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The Colombian peso dollar closed lower on December 24, 2025, at $3,706.74 after a $52.74 drop from the TRM of $3,759.48. Oil prices edged up slightly, with Brent at US$62.50 and WTI at US$58.50 per barrel. This movement aligns with market bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical risks affecting oil supply.

Nilai tukar rupiah melemah mendekati Rp 17.000 per dolar AS pada 21 Januari 2026, dipicu oleh tekanan global dan domestik. Ekonom Josua Pardede menekankan perlunya kepastian kebijakan fiskal untuk memulihkan kepercayaan pasar. Sementara itu, IHSG dibuka melemah seiring risiko eksternal yang meningkat.

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Nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS melemah pada pembukaan perdagangan di Jakarta, Kamis (29/1/2026), menjadi sekitar Rp16.752-Rp16.771 per dolar AS. Pelemahan ini terjadi meskipun ada isu intervensi pemerintah AS terhadap Federal Reserve dan respons positif pasar terhadap kelanjutan program stimulus domestik. Analis memprediksi potensi penguatan terbatas akibat faktor global dan domestik.

 

 

 

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