Trading floor scene illustrating Colombian peso's 1.36% drop amid regional currency gains and January volatility.
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Colombian peso decouples from peers amid January volatility

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Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

On January 28, 2026, the USD/COP exchange rate closed at 3,672 pesos (intraday range: 3,616–3,685), marking a 1.36% daily depreciation. This contrasted with gains in the Brazilian real (0.23%), Chilean peso (0.67%), and Mexican peso (0.37%).

Regionally, the Brazilian real leads January revaluations at 5.6%, followed by the Chilean peso (5.11%) and Mexican peso (4.8%). The Colombian peso's 3.5% gain for the month slipped in rankings but remains top 10, ahead of the South African rand (4.4%).

The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.16% to 96.37 but fell 2.42% over five days, linked to fading confidence in Donald Trump's tariff and economic policies. "The dollar has plummeted globally and investors are increasingly valuing assets like gold," said Andrés Langebaek, former Anif vice president.

Commodities supported markets: Brent crude +1.64% to $68.7/barrel, WTI +1.80% to $63.5, gold +4.01% to $5,387.9. Colombia's high interest rates aid revaluation, though global factors dominate.

This highlights a fragmented forex market, with the peso under unique domestic-external pressures, building on its earlier leadership in emerging currency gains.

Apa yang dikatakan orang

Reactions on X to the Colombian peso's 1.36% depreciation on January 28, 2026, highlight its divergence from appreciating peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, amid ongoing monthly gains. News outlets emphasize internal factors and volatility, while analysts attribute movements largely to global USD weakness. Positive views celebrate economic benefits from a strong peso, skeptics warn of fiscal risks and policy-driven unsustainability.

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Illustration of the blue dollar exchange rate rising to 1470 pesos in Buenos Aires, depicting economic activity and currency trading.
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Blue dollar rises to 1470 pesos at close on October 28

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The blue dollar closed higher on October 28, rising 15 pesos to 1470 pesos in sales, as the Central Bank's reserves fell by 288 million dollars. Other exchange rates, such as MEP and CCL, also saw slight variations. The Central Bank did not intervene in the foreign exchange market during the day.

Building on its 3.8% gain in the first 14 days of January, the Colombian peso has appreciated further by 4.5% over the first 22 days, maintaining its top position among emerging currencies. New international factors like Donald Trump's Greenland comments and a national pension decree bolster the trend, with the Chilean peso (3.8%) and Russian ruble (3.79%) trailing.

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Building on its strong 2025 performance as the fourth strongest emerging currency, the Colombian peso has appreciated 3.8% in the first 14 days of January 2026, leading the pack. It outperforms the Chilean peso (2.8%) and Argentine peso (1%), driven by government external debt issuance and favorable US inflation data.

The Mexican peso reached levels near 18 pesos per dollar this week, a floor not seen since July 2024, driven by a weak dollar and solid economic fundamentals. Analysts highlight a 15.6 percent appreciation in 2025, though they warn this strength may be temporary due to rate cuts and trade tensions.

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Continuing its strong run from last week when it first approached 18 per dollar, the Mexican peso edged up 0.02% to close at 17.99 against the US dollar on December 19, following a 25 basis point cut by the Bank of Mexico. Bank quotes show the dollar at 18.47, with analysts eyeing potential corrections amid rising dollar strength.

Nilai tukar rupiah melemah mendekati Rp 17.000 per dolar AS pada 21 Januari 2026, dipicu oleh tekanan global dan domestik. Ekonom Josua Pardede menekankan perlunya kepastian kebijakan fiskal untuk memulihkan kepercayaan pasar. Sementara itu, IHSG dibuka melemah seiring risiko eksternal yang meningkat.

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Nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS melemah 28 poin atau 0,17 persen menjadi Rp16.847 per dolar AS pada pembukaan perdagangan di Jakarta, Senin (12/1/2026). Analis memprediksi fluktuasi lebih lanjut, dengan satu sisi melihat potensi penguatan akibat penyelidikan terhadap Ketua The Fed Jerome Powell, sementara yang lain memperingatkan pelemahan berkelanjutan karena geopolitik global.

 

 

 

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