Trading floor scene illustrating Colombian peso's 1.36% drop amid regional currency gains and January volatility.
Trading floor scene illustrating Colombian peso's 1.36% drop amid regional currency gains and January volatility.
Picha iliyoundwa na AI

Colombian peso decouples from peers amid January volatility

Picha iliyoundwa na AI

Continuing its strong revaluation trend earlier in January—where it led emerging currencies with gains over 4% through January 22—the Colombian peso depreciated 1.36% on January 28, 2026, diverging from appreciating regional peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso. Despite the daily drop, it holds a 3.5% monthly gain amid global volatility and commodity rebounds.

On January 28, 2026, the USD/COP exchange rate closed at 3,672 pesos (intraday range: 3,616–3,685), marking a 1.36% daily depreciation. This contrasted with gains in the Brazilian real (0.23%), Chilean peso (0.67%), and Mexican peso (0.37%).

Regionally, the Brazilian real leads January revaluations at 5.6%, followed by the Chilean peso (5.11%) and Mexican peso (4.8%). The Colombian peso's 3.5% gain for the month slipped in rankings but remains top 10, ahead of the South African rand (4.4%).

The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.16% to 96.37 but fell 2.42% over five days, linked to fading confidence in Donald Trump's tariff and economic policies. "The dollar has plummeted globally and investors are increasingly valuing assets like gold," said Andrés Langebaek, former Anif vice president.

Commodities supported markets: Brent crude +1.64% to $68.7/barrel, WTI +1.80% to $63.5, gold +4.01% to $5,387.9. Colombia's high interest rates aid revaluation, though global factors dominate.

This highlights a fragmented forex market, with the peso under unique domestic-external pressures, building on its earlier leadership in emerging currency gains.

Watu wanasema nini

Reactions on X to the Colombian peso's 1.36% depreciation on January 28, 2026, highlight its divergence from appreciating peers like the Brazilian real and Mexican peso, amid ongoing monthly gains. News outlets emphasize internal factors and volatility, while analysts attribute movements largely to global USD weakness. Positive views celebrate economic benefits from a strong peso, skeptics warn of fiscal risks and policy-driven unsustainability.

Makala yanayohusiana

Building on its 3.8% gain in the first 14 days of January, the Colombian peso has appreciated further by 4.5% over the first 22 days, maintaining its top position among emerging currencies. New international factors like Donald Trump's Greenland comments and a national pension decree bolster the trend, with the Chilean peso (3.8%) and Russian ruble (3.79%) trailing.

Imeripotiwa na AI

Building on its strong 2025 performance as the fourth strongest emerging currency, the Colombian peso has appreciated 3.8% in the first 14 days of January 2026, leading the pack. It outperforms the Chilean peso (2.8%) and Argentine peso (1%), driven by government external debt issuance and favorable US inflation data.

The Colombian peso closed higher on Wednesday, driven by oil price volatility following President Donald Trump's announcement of a blockade on sanctioned tankers to Venezuela. Crude prices rose over 2%, with Brent at US$60.33 per barrel. President Gustavo Petro warned that a drop to US$55 per barrel would make oil production in Colombia unprofitable.

Imeripotiwa na AI

The Mexican peso closed the trading day on Friday, February 6, with a 0.85% appreciation, settling at 17.2592 pesos per dollar, driven by global USD weakness and Banxico's decision to keep its rate at 7%. Analysts note this strength could hold in the 17.00-18.00 pesos range through the first quarter.

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