PAGASA is not ruling out landfall for Tropical Depression Ada in Eastern Visayas and Bicol, though its track may keep it offshore. It was located 420 kilometers east of Surigao City on January 15, 2026, and could strengthen into a tropical storm that day. Considerable rain is expected in Caraga, Eastern Visayas, and Bicol.
On January 15, 2026, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) stated that Tropical Depression Ada, the Philippines' first tropical cyclone of 2026, may pass close to Eastern Samar and Northern Samar on Friday evening, January 16, or early Saturday morning, January 17. It could then approach Catanduanes on Saturday evening or Sunday morning, January 18. PAGASA noted that 'a further westward shift' in its track may lead to landfall in Eastern Visayas and/or Bicol.
Ada's center was located 420 kilometers east of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte, as of 10 a.m. on Thursday, moving west northwest at 10 km/h. It has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h and gustiness up to 70 km/h, and could strengthen into a tropical storm that day. In a later update, it was 385 km east-northeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur, moving northwest at 20 km/h.
Signal No. 1 is hoisted over areas including Sorsogon, southeastern Albay, Catanduanes, Northern Samar, Samar, Eastern Samar, eastern Biliran, eastern Leyte, eastern Southern Leyte, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, and Surigao del Sur. The highest possible signal is No. 2.
Rainfall forecasts include 50-100 mm in Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Agusan del Norte, and Surigao del Sur from Thursday to Friday. 100-200 mm is expected in Catanduanes, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar from Friday to Saturday, and in Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, and Albay from Saturday to Sunday. These regions should be alert for floods and landslides.
Strong winds from the northeast monsoon and Ada's periphery will affect Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, and others from January 15 to 17. Seas up to 4 meters are forecast in some seaboards. PAGASA expects two to eight tropical cyclones to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility in the first half of 2026.
