India's banking liquidity surplus narrows to ₹75,483 crore

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

India's banking system experienced a reduction in liquidity surplus to ₹75,483 crore, primarily due to advance tax payments totaling Rs 2 lakh crore and interventions in the foreign exchange market. These factors contributed to an increase in money market rates, which prompted the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to undertake a repo operation to inject liquidity into the system. Economists have estimated that the RBI sold more than $15 billion in reserves to bolster the rupee amid these pressures. The combination of tax outflows and forex interventions has led to a temporary squeeze in banking liquidity, highlighting the RBI's active role in managing monetary conditions.

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RBI headquarters with repo rate display amid West Asia conflict indicators, for monetary policy news illustration.
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RBI holds repo rate at 5.25% amid West Asia conflict

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

India's Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has limited banks' net open positions in rupee foreign exchange dealings to $100 million per day, aiming to curb speculation and stabilize the currency. The measures respond to rupee depreciation driven by the Iran war, depleting reserves, rising crude oil prices, and USD-INR fluctuations.

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India's Reserve Bank of India has declined a request from banks to spread out provisions for expected mark-to-market losses in the March quarter. Banks sought this relief to mitigate pressures from rising government bond yields and a $100 million cap on net open positions. The decision adds to uncertainty in financial markets.

The Indian rupee weakened further to breach 94 and approach 95 against the US dollar—a new record low—following its prior plunge to 93.73 last week. Surging crude oil prices from Red Sea tensions and fears of a prolonged Gulf war drove the slide, while Indian stocks extended losses into a fifth consecutive week. Limited Reserve Bank of India intervention has heightened concerns of additional depreciation.

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Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa has placed an additional Rp 100 trillion in bank deposits to counter liquidity pressures from rising government bond yields. The total now stands at around Rp 300 trillion, up from Rp 200 trillion previously. The injection, timed ahead of Lebaran, prioritizes state-owned and regional banks.

Argentina's Central Bank (BCRA) decided to cut bank reserve requirements by five percentage points starting in April, freeing up liquidity for banks to issue more loans amid recession. Led by Santiago Bausili, the move aims to revive economic activity without derailing inflation control. Analysts note the shift to a more expansionary policy after months of monetary contraction.

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The Indian rupee plunged to a fresh all-time low of 93.73 against the US dollar, its sharpest single-day drop since late 2022. This extends the depreciation trend that saw it weaken to 92.42 earlier in the week amid surging oil prices from West Asian conflicts and foreign investor outflows.

 

 

 

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