India's banking liquidity surplus narrows to ₹75,483 crore

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

India's banking system experienced a reduction in liquidity surplus to ₹75,483 crore, primarily due to advance tax payments totaling Rs 2 lakh crore and interventions in the foreign exchange market. These factors contributed to an increase in money market rates, which prompted the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to undertake a repo operation to inject liquidity into the system. Economists have estimated that the RBI sold more than $15 billion in reserves to bolster the rupee amid these pressures. The combination of tax outflows and forex interventions has led to a temporary squeeze in banking liquidity, highlighting the RBI's active role in managing monetary conditions.

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RBI headquarters with repo rate display amid West Asia conflict indicators, for monetary policy news illustration.
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RBI holds repo rate at 5.25% amid West Asia conflict

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

India's Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has limited banks' net open positions in rupee foreign exchange dealings to $100 million per day, aiming to curb speculation and stabilize the currency. The measures respond to rupee depreciation driven by the Iran war, depleting reserves, rising crude oil prices, and USD-INR fluctuations.

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee decided to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25% in its February meeting, citing improved growth prospects from the recent India-US trade deal. This pauses a series of rate cuts from 2025 amid benign inflation. The decision reflects optimism about GDP growth and external sector stability.

Crude oil prices surpassing $100 have erased Rs 20 lakh crore from Indian equity markets this week, amid escalating Iran conflict. The rupee hit a record low as foreign institutional investors continued selling, intensifying the downturn. Experts suggest the panic could present long-term buying opportunities.

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RBI officials stated that the near-term economic outlook remains favorable and well-positioned to sustain high growth momentum, driven by consumption, investment, and productivity-enhancing reforms. Inflation is expected to remain benign and near the target. However, global conditions introduce some volatility.

Union Bank of India has approved a plan to raise up to Rs 20,000 crore through long-term bonds. The funds will support infrastructure and affordable housing projects. The bank also plans to issue up to Rs 5,000 crore in green or sustainable bonds, with some fundraising targeted before March 31, 2026.

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

 

 

 

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