KOSPI volatility prolongs Korea discount

Extreme KOSPI swings after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran are worsening the 'Korea discount', says Peter S. Kim of KB Financial Group. The index plunged 7.24% on March 3 and surged a record 9.63% on March 5. Kim blames retail investors' short-term, high-risk trading.

At the Jefferies Asia Forum in Hong Kong, Peter S. Kim, global investment strategist at KB Financial Group, linked recent KOSPI volatility to the ongoing 'Korea discount'—the chronic undervaluation of Korean-listed companies. With over 30 years in finance, including roles at HSBC Securities Korea and founding a Hong Kong hedge fund, Kim heads KB Securities' global business division. After U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, the KOSPI dropped 7.24% on March 3, triggering a sell-side circuit breaker; losses hit 12% the next day, exceeding post-9/11 declines. It then jumped 9.63% on March 5—its biggest daily gain ever—activating a buy-side breaker. Kim highlighted retail investors' leveraged, short-term trading, with sidecars triggered nine times this year, complicating institutional hedging. 'Foreign investors find this baffling. How can an index in a market that isn’t even small swing 5 percent to 6 percent so casually?' he said, calling volatility an underappreciated factor alongside governance. Despite 2025's 75.89% rise and 33.7% gains in 2026 through Thursday, KB Securities forecasts 7,500 points in two years. Kim urged 'sticky money'—long-term capital—warning hot money has surged since last August's semiconductor pivot. He questioned government efforts like leveraged ETFs and Kosdaq 3,000 targets as encouraging speculation.

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Panicked traders on Seoul's KOSPI floor amid screens showing 12% plunge and headlines of US-Israeli strikes on Iran.
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Seoul stocks plunge over 12% amid Middle East tensions

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Seoul's stock market plunged for a second day, with the KOSPI index falling 12.06% to close at 5,093.54 amid fears of economic fallout from the Middle East conflict. The Korean won weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar, trading at 1,476.20 won, down 10.1 won. The downturn followed U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Korean stocks plunged more than 8 percent late Monday morning after the Korea Exchange (KRX) resumed trading following a 20-minute suspension. The drop came amid extreme volatility triggered by recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, with the KOSPI index falling over 450 points. Global energy price swings and weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data also weighed on the market.

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South Korean stocks surged over 4% on February 3, rebounding from the previous day's drop and triggering a buy-side circuit breaker. The Korea Exchange halted trading for five minutes at 9:26 a.m., the first such activation since last year. Institutional and foreign investors bought up heavyweight shares amid bargain hunting.

Seoul stocks opened sharply higher on Wednesday amid growing optimism over Washington's moves to end the month-long war in Iran. The benchmark KOSPI rose 170.22 points, or 3.06 percent, to 5,724.14 in the first 15 minutes of trading.

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South Korean stocks closed 1.8 percent lower on Friday, capping a turbulent week amid concerns over an AI bubble and renewed U.S.-China trade tensions. The Kospi index tumbled to 3,953.76, while the won weakened to a seven-month low against the dollar. Foreigners and institutions sold off shares heavily.

South Korean stocks rebounded more than 5% on Tuesday amid eased concerns over the U.S.-Iran conflict. U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks led to a sharp drop in global crude prices, spurring bargain hunting. The Korean won also strengthened significantly against the U.S. dollar.

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Following its record close at 4,457.52 on January 5 amid a tech rally, South Korea's KOSPI dipped on January 6 due to profit-taking by foreign investors, though retail buying narrowed losses to 0.37% (4,440.94) by late morning—despite overnight Wall Street gains.

 

 

 

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