KOSPI 波动延长了韩国的贴现率

KB Financial Group 的 Peter S. Kim 表示,美国和以色列空袭伊朗后,KOSPI 指数剧烈波动,加剧了 "韩国折扣"。该指数在 3 月 3 日暴跌 7.24%,在 3 月 5 日又飙升了创纪录的 9.63%。Kim 将此归咎于散户投资者的短期高风险交易。

在香港举行的杰富瑞亚洲论坛上,KB 金融集团的全球投资策略师 Peter S. Kim 将近期 KOSPI 的波动与持续的 "韩国折扣"--韩国上市公司的长期低估--联系起来。Kim 拥有 30 多年的金融从业经验,曾在韩国汇丰证券公司任职,并在香港创立了一家对冲基金,他是 KB Securities 全球业务部门的负责人。美国和以色列空袭伊朗后,KOSPI 指数在 3 月 3 日下跌了 7.24%,触发了卖方断路器;第二天的跌幅达到 12%,超过了 9/11 事件后的跌幅。随后,3 月 5 日指数大涨 9.63%,创下有史以来最大单日涨幅,触发了买方断路器。Kim 强调了散户投资者的杠杆短期交易,今年九次触发了边际套利,使机构对冲变得复杂。外国投资者对此感到困惑。在一个规模并不小的市场中,指数怎么能如此随意地波动 5% 至 6%?尽管到本周四为止,2025 年的涨幅为 75.89%,2026 年的涨幅为 33.7%,但 KB Securities 预测两年内将达到 7500 点。Kim 敦促 "粘性资金"--长期资本--警惕热钱自去年 8 月的半导体中枢以来飙升。他质疑政府所做的努力,如杠杆 ETF 和科斯达克 3000 点目标是在鼓励投机。

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Panicked traders on Seoul's KOSPI floor amid screens showing 12% plunge and headlines of US-Israeli strikes on Iran.
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Seoul stocks plunge over 12% amid Middle East tensions

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Seoul's stock market plunged for a second day, with the KOSPI index falling 12.06% to close at 5,093.54 amid fears of economic fallout from the Middle East conflict. The Korean won weakened sharply against the U.S. dollar, trading at 1,476.20 won, down 10.1 won. The downturn followed U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Korean stocks plunged more than 8 percent late Monday morning after the Korea Exchange (KRX) resumed trading following a 20-minute suspension. The drop came amid extreme volatility triggered by recent U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, with the KOSPI index falling over 450 points. Global energy price swings and weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data also weighed on the market.

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South Korean stocks opened sharply lower on Friday amid heightened risk-off sentiment from renewed Middle East tensions. The KOSPI benchmark fell 3.74% to 5,256.46 in the first 20 minutes of trading. Uncertainty in U.S.-Iran negotiations fueled the decline.

South Korean stocks opened sharply lower on Wednesday, tracking overnight losses on Wall Street and uncertainties over peace talks between the United States and Iran.

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Seoul stocks plunged 4.47% on U.S. President Donald Trump's renewed threats against Iran, closing the benchmark KOSPI at 5,234.05 after a 244.65-point drop. The Korean won weakened to 1,519.7 against the dollar. Hopes for a swift end to the monthlong Middle East war faded, driving global oil prices higher.

Seoul shares ended flat on Friday as investors bought defense and shipbuilding stocks to offset declines in major tech shares amid Middle East tensions. The benchmark KOSPI edged down 0.18 point to close at 6,475.63. The South Korean won fell against the U.S. dollar.

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Seoul shares extended losses late Friday morning as investors offloaded technology and other large-cap stocks to lock in profits. The benchmark KOSPI fell 107.49 points, or 1.7 percent, to 6,199.78 as of 11:20 a.m. This pullback followed a record high close the previous day.

 

 

 

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