South Korea's real home prices fall 1.6% in Q3 2025

South Korea's inflation-adjusted home prices fell 1.6 percent in the third quarter of 2025 from a year earlier, ranking 47th among 56 major economies. This marks the 13th consecutive quarter of on-year contraction. Data from the Bank of Korea and the Bank for International Settlements shows prices have been declining since the third quarter of 2022.

South Korea's inflation-adjusted residential property prices declined 1.6 percent in the July-September period of 2025 compared to the previous year, according to data released on March 2, 2026. The figure places the country 47th out of 56 major economies, based on information from the Bank of Korea (BOK) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). This downturn represents the 13th consecutive quarter of year-on-year contraction, a trend that began in the third quarter of 2022 after a 3.8 percent increase in the second quarter of that year.

Amid this decline, the South Korean government is intensifying regulations on owners of multiple homes to prevent speculative investments and the conversion of residences for nonresidential uses. Analysts note that the persistent drop in real prices might seem counterintuitive to the public, given attention to nominal price fluctuations and sharp rises in parts of the greater Seoul area. "Price increases in the second half of last year were largely concentrated in select districts within the capital region, highlighting deepening polarization in the housing market," a commercial bank official said.

The data underscores ongoing challenges in the housing sector, with government measures aimed at stabilizing the market through targeted controls.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's 1% GDP growth in 2025 driven by exports amid construction weakness and Q4 contraction.
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South Korea's economy grows 1 percent in 2025

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South Korea's gross domestic product grew 1 percent in 2025 from the previous year, according to Bank of Korea data, but the fourth quarter saw an unexpected 0.3 percent contraction. Strong exports drove the annual figure despite weakness in construction. This marks half the 2 percent expansion of 2024.

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

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South Korean bank household loans continued their decline for a third consecutive month in February, falling to 1,172.3 trillion won ($799.11 billion) amid ongoing government lending curbs, though mortgages edged up slightly due to moving demand ahead of the new school year.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) kept its 2026 growth forecast for South Korea unchanged at 1.9 percent despite the Middle East crisis. The institution raised its inflation outlook for this year by 0.7 percentage point to 2.5 percent, citing rising global oil prices. The Ministry of Economy and Finance said strong exports and effects from a supplementary budget kept the growth outlook steady.

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South Africa's consumer price index averaged 3.2% in 2025, down from 4.4% the previous year, staying within the Reserve Bank's target range. Inflation rose slightly to 3.6% in December, but economists remain optimistic due to factors like fuel price reductions and a stronger rand. The overall trend signals progress in managing price pressures.

South Korea's Cabinet approved a revision to the enforcement decree of the Income Tax Act, ending a temporary exemption from heavy capital gains taxes for owners of multiple homes. The measure, postponed under the previous Yoon Suk Yeol administration, will resume after nearly four years to stabilize housing prices and curb speculation in the greater Seoul area. It imposes a maximum tax rate of up to 75 percent on sales in designated speculative zones starting May 9.

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South Korea's industrial output rose 2.5% in February from the previous month, the fastest growth in five years and eight months. Government data showed retail sales unchanged while facility investment jumped 13.5%. The Middle East crisis has had minimal impact so far.

 

 

 

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