Copper starts 2026 at new historical highs

Copper prices opened 2026 at historical highs, trading at US$5.7 per pound, according to the Chilean Copper Commission (Cochilco). This marks a 0.54% increase from the end of 2025 and occurs amid declining global inventories. The metal, essential for the energy transition and artificial intelligence, keeps boosting Chile's exports.

Copper, Chile's main export product, started 2026 strongly by reaching a price of US$5.7 per pound, equivalent to US$12,571 per ton, according to Cochilco data. This quotation reflects a 0.54% rise compared to the last trading session of 2025, when the annual average price was US$4.511 per pound.

The increase occurs amid reduced supply, shown by a drop of 2,100 metric tons in London Metal Exchange (LME) inventories. 2025 was an exceptional year for the metal, with a price surge of over 40%, driven by demand outpacing supply in the global economy.

Long seen as a barometer of worldwide economic activity, copper has grown in importance recently due to its role in the shift to clean energy, electric mobility, and the rise of artificial intelligence. Data centers expanding globally are copper-intensive, as is lithium, another key Chilean resource.

In this context of scarcity, Capstone Copper reported that on January 2, the strike by Union No. 2 at the Mantoverde mine took effect, after collective bargaining ended without agreement and all legal steps, including extended mediation, were exhausted.

Copper accounts for about half of Chile's annual exports exceeding US$100 billion, with a record expected this year.

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Illustration depicting Chile's Central Bank raising 2026 GDP forecast to 2-3% due to copper prices and investment, with optimistic economists and symbolic graphs.
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Central Bank raises growth projection to 2-3% for 2026

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Chile's Central Bank released its December Monetary Policy Report, raising the GDP growth projection for 2026 to 2% to 3%, driven by higher investment and copper prices. Inflation will converge to 3% in the first quarter of 2026, in a more favorable scenario than anticipated. Experts agree on the optimism but highlight risks in the labor market and abroad.

Building on its strong start to 2026, copper prices hit new highs on January 6, surpassing US$6 per pound on New York Comex and US$13,000 per ton on London Metal Exchange amid supply tightness and robust demand. Chile benefits fiscally, but experts caution on volatility.

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On the first trading day of 2026, the Chilean dollar rose to $906, breaking the $900 support, while the Ipsa index fell 0.51% to 10,427.75 points. This marks the second consecutive decline for the benchmark after its recent all-time high. Local markets responded to moderate economic data and copper at record highs.

The US Department of Justice opened a criminal investigation against Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, raising fears over the central bank's independence and shaking global markets. The dollar fell to lows as gold hit a new all-time high. In Chile, the Ipsa reached a record driven by copper.

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Chilean economists anticipate a negative or zero variation in the Consumer Price Index (IPC) for December, closing 2025 annual inflation around 3.5% or 3.6%. For the first quarter of 2026, they project convergence below 3%, driven by drops in fuels, food, and electricity. Official data will be released on January 8.

The National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC) revealed that Argentina obtained a gain of US$ 3.509 million in 2025 thanks to improved terms of trade, driven by a sharper drop in import prices than in exports. Import prices fell 4.5% year-over-year, while export prices declined only 0.6%, raising the index by 4%. This evolution contributed to a trade surplus of US$ 11.286 million.

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The Mexican peso has accumulated a 13.9% appreciation in 2025, its best performance since 1994, driven by dollar weakness and solid local factors. Despite a moderate depreciation on December 29, the exchange rate remains stable amid low trading volume due to year-end holidays. Analysts forecast volatility in 2026 from monetary policies and trade reviews.

 

 

 

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