Government analyzes rise in beef prices and advances measures

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development identified rises in beef prices in 2026, due to a 14.59% increase in live cattle prices. The government is dialoguing with supply chain actors to implement measures protecting domestic supply and household economies.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development conducts ongoing technical monitoring of food prices in Colombia. This revealed increases in beef prices during 2026, driven by a 14.59% annual rise in live cattle auction prices up to January that year. This accounts for about 53% of production costs, passing pressures to consumers. In 2025, female slaughter reached 40.9% of the national total, concentrated in animals aged 2 to 5 years, impacting herd replenishment. Live cattle exports were 7.9% of national production that year, with 73% being males aged 1 to 2 years, and 39% of these going abroad, reducing domestic supply. The extraction rate for males in that age group was 10.8% from November 2024 to October 2025, exceeding natural replenishment. To address these trends, the government has held talks with supply chain stakeholders. Proposed measures include reducing slaughter of breeding-age females, enhancing traceability for real-time data on slaughter and exports, and setting an annual export quota for males aged 1 to 2 years. These aim to stabilize prices, safeguard national production, and ensure food security.

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Argentine and US officials shake hands sealing trade deal expanding beef exports to 100,000 tons.
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Argentina signs trade agreement with the United States

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Foreign Minister Pablo Quirno announced a trade agreement between Argentina and the United States that expands the beef export quota to 100,000 tons and removes tariff barriers in key sectors. The deal aims to strengthen bilateral economic ties and could boost exports by up to $1,013 million. The agricultural sector, particularly meat exporters, hailed the pact as a major step forward.

Wholesale beef prices in Jesús María and Cañuelas markets showed a mixed picture. Wintering cattle prices rose 14%, while those for consumption fell 3%. This indicates gains in calves and drops in slaughter-ready categories.

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Brazil's beef exports to China surged in January 2026, risking exhaustion of the annual quota by September. The government warns that uncontrolled shipments could trigger a domestic price collapse and job losses in the cattle sector. China has set a 55 percent tariff on imports exceeding the quota.

Colombia's coffee production dropped 34% in January 2026 compared to the same month the previous year, reaching just 893,000 60-kg sacks. The National Federation of Coffee Growers attributes this decline to climate shocks, exchange rate appreciation, and international price volatility. Nonetheless, exports over the last 12 months saw a slight increase.

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Brazilian officials lack clarity on whether beef shipments en route to China will count against Beijing's new import quotas announced last week. The volume is small relative to 2025 exports, but the industry fears sales disruptions amid the broader safeguard measures affecting major exporters like Argentina and Australia.

A report from Argentina's Observatorio de la Cadena Láctea Argentina warns that China, the world's top dairy buyer, has reduced import volumes by up to 16.5% at the start of 2026. Prices in dollars are cushioning the decline while domestic production rises.

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The Rosario Grain Exchange projects that grain production in the 2025/26 campaign will reach a record 154.8 million tons, 12% above the previous historical high. However, exports will generate only $36.8 billion due to falling international prices. Corn and wheat will lead this production growth.

 

 

 

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