Iran war keeps Middle East skies closed as Cathay Pacific fares surge 93% on average

A week of US-Israeli attacks on Iran and retaliatory strikes into Gulf states has kept much of the Middle East’s airspace closed, driving global airfare surges as airlines reroute flights. This ongoing crisis, following initial disruptions to Gulf hubs like Dubai, has hit Cathay Pacific hardest, with an SCMP analysis showing average 93% jumps in fares to Hong Kong from 57 destinations worldwide.

US-Israeli attacks on Iran and retaliatory strikes spilling into neighbouring Gulf states have forced much of the Middle East’s airspace to remain closed for over a week. Airlines and passengers continue to divert and rebook, pushing fares higher globally.

An SCMP reporter tracked the earliest available direct Cathay Pacific flights from 57 destinations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Americas and Africa—excluding Middle East, mainland China and Taiwan routes. The average cheapest ticket price for Saturday departures has surged 93 per cent compared with the upper range of typical prices over the past 12 months, per Google Flights data.

European routes saw the biggest spikes. No one-way economy tickets were available, but business-class on Cathay’s London-Hong Kong flight for Saturday cost HK$53,486 (US$6,837)—over 600 per cent above the usual HK$7,400. Madrid followed at HK$51,258 (US$6,553) for business class, about 500 per cent more than the typical HK$8,500.

This underscores how the protracted geopolitical tensions are inflating travel costs worldwide amid persistent airspace restrictions.

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Hong Kong airport travelers facing surged airfares to Europe and Asia amid Middle East conflict rerouting flights.
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Middle East conflict drives up Hong Kong airfares to Europe and Americas

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Airfares from Hong Kong to Europe, the Americas, and even some Asian cities have surged due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Economy-class return fares to Paris start at HK$17,670, while the cheapest to Tokyo nears HK$5,000. Industry insiders attribute the rises to airspace chaos, flight groundings, and surging fuel prices.

Airline ticket prices have risen sharply on routes between Asia and Europe following the closure of major Gulf airports amid the U.S.-Israel war against Iran. Key hubs like Dubai have been shut for a fourth day, leading to widespread cancellations and rebookings. Passengers face limited availability and higher costs as airlines reroute flights.

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Global airlines are increasing ticket prices as jet fuel costs soar due to the US-Israel conflict with Iran. Airspace closures in the region are forcing reroutes and cancellations, exacerbating the disruptions. Oil prices have fluctuated sharply, impacting carriers worldwide.

Airline shares across Asia plunged on Monday as oil prices spiked 20% due to the intensifying U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, exacerbating fuel costs and airspace restrictions. The conflict has stranded passengers and disrupted global travel, compounding market fears of prolonged supply shortages.

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Since US-Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, 2026, escalating into a regional air war, over 21,000 flights have been canceled across Gulf hubs including Dubai, Doha, and Abu Dhabi, stranding tens of thousands. Following initial limited resumptions on March 2, major airports stayed restricted into March 3-4, with airlines like Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar Airways prioritizing repatriation amid government evacuation calls.

The US-Israel-Iran war has severely disrupted Middle East tourism, leaving hotels in Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi empty. According to the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC), the region suffers at least $600 million in daily losses. Airspace closures have led to flight cancellations and higher travel costs.

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Escalating tensions from US-Israeli strikes on Iran—codenamed 'Operation Epic Fury,' reportedly killing supreme leader Ali Khamenei—and Iranian missile retaliation have shut down airspace across the Middle East since February 28, 2026. Thousands of flights canceled daily, stranding hundreds of thousands at hubs like Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Israel. Airlines including Emirates, Etihad, and Qatar Airways suspended operations with limited resumptions on March 2. The UK FCDO updated warnings for 21 countries, advising against all but essential travel to several nations and shelter-in-place for British nationals.

 

 

 

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