US Fed delivers quarter-point rate cut

The US Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday a quarter-point cut to its benchmark interest rate, aligning with market expectations but falling short of President Donald Trump's calls for a larger reduction. This marks the third cut this year.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve's monetary-policy body, decided to lower the benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent, a level that previously posed a high burden on interest repayments. Led by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, this decision addresses uncertainties in the inflation outlook.

The FOMC statement noted: “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment rose in recent months.” This highlights the Fed's focus on both employment and inflation.

President Donald Trump has long criticized this year's third rate cut as too late and too small, demanding a larger reduction to boost the economy. The move has intensified debates over the Fed's independence.

The decision could ripple through global financial markets by affecting international capital flows. Many central banks, including the Hong Kong Monetary Authority with its US dollar peg, often follow the Fed's lead. Institutions like the People's Bank of China will also assess the implications.

While the cut aims to support economic growth, the elevated rate range continues to pressure borrowers. Markets anticipate it will ease some economic strains, though global uncertainties persist.

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Brazil's Copom committee cuts Selic rate amid Middle East war-driven oil price spike.
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Copom cuts Selic from 15% to 14.75% amid war uncertainties

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Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) cut the Selic rate by 0.25 percentage points, from 15% to 14.75% per year, on Wednesday (18). The unanimous decision, the first under Gabriel Galípolo's management, comes despite the escalation of the Middle East conflict, which pushed oil prices above US$ 100 per barrel. The statement stresses caution due to uncertainty over the duration of the war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.

Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Yoo Sang-dai stated that uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's rate path has deepened following the latest FOMC decision to hold benchmark rates at 3.5-3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, amid persistent Middle East instability. The BOK will monitor risks closely and act if needed to stabilize markets.

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Egypt's Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee is expected to cut interest rates by 1-2% at its first 2026 meeting on Thursday. This comes amid core inflation easing to 11.2% in January. Experts support the move to boost economic growth while maintaining stability.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept its Eurozone deposit rate at 2.0 percent. Despite sharply rising prices and heightened inflation expectations, the ECB refrained from a rate hike. Investors now anticipate moves from June onward.

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Mexico's central bank (Banxico) cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—following its prior reduction to 7% in December 2025—approved by a 3-2 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from fruit/vegetable surges and geopolitical tensions. The Board signaled potential for another cut based on evolving conditions, with analysts split on timing.

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