US Fed delivers quarter-point rate cut

The US Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday a quarter-point cut to its benchmark interest rate, aligning with market expectations but falling short of President Donald Trump's calls for a larger reduction. This marks the third cut this year.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve's monetary-policy body, decided to lower the benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent, a level that previously posed a high burden on interest repayments. Led by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, this decision addresses uncertainties in the inflation outlook.

The FOMC statement noted: “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment rose in recent months.” This highlights the Fed's focus on both employment and inflation.

President Donald Trump has long criticized this year's third rate cut as too late and too small, demanding a larger reduction to boost the economy. The move has intensified debates over the Fed's independence.

The decision could ripple through global financial markets by affecting international capital flows. Many central banks, including the Hong Kong Monetary Authority with its US dollar peg, often follow the Fed's lead. Institutions like the People's Bank of China will also assess the implications.

While the cut aims to support economic growth, the elevated rate range continues to pressure borrowers. Markets anticipate it will ease some economic strains, though global uncertainties persist.

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference amid falling cryptocurrency charts, illustrating rate cut announcement and tempered expectations.
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Fed cuts rates but Powell tempers December cut expectations

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The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% to a range of 3.75%-4.0% on Wednesday, as expected. However, Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments during the press conference cast doubt on a further cut in December, triggering a selloff in crypto markets. Bitcoin fell below $110,000, while Chainlink experienced volatility before a partial rebound.

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority kept its base rate at 4% unchanged, mirroring the US Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady. This leaves borrowers in the city waiting longer for funding costs to fall amid ongoing uncertainties. The authority urged the public to manage interest rate risks carefully in decisions on property, investments, or borrowing.

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Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve chair ends in May 2026, opening the door to greater influence from Donald Trump over the central bank. The president-elect has harshly criticized Powell and seeks to appoint a loyal successor, threatening the institution's independence. Analysts expect up to three interest rate cuts this year if inflation eases.

South Korea's central bank decided to keep its benchmark interest rate at 2.5 percent during a monetary policy meeting in Seoul on January 15. This marks the fifth consecutive hold since July, driven by a weakened won and inflation concerns that limit further easing. BOK Governor Rhee Chang-yong emphasized a data-driven approach, leaving room for potential rate cuts in the next three months amid high uncertainty.

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The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75% from 0.5% on December 20, marking a 30-year high aimed at curbing inflation. However, the yen weakened sharply against the dollar and other major currencies. Markets reacted with sales due to the BOJ's vague outlook on future hikes.

Das Banco de la República hat beschlossen, den Zinssatz für Oktober 2025 bei 9,25 % zu belassen, da die Inflation im dritten Monat in Folge gestiegen ist. Präsident Gustavo Petro reagierte, indem er erklärte, dass die Sätze nur mit der nächsten Vorstandsbestellung sinken werden. Geschäftsführer Leonardo Villar klärte, dass die nächste Bestellung für Februar 2029 geplant ist.

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Die Zentralbank Kolumbiens könnte ihren Leitzinssatz um 50 Basispunkte auf 9,75 % bei ihrer Sitzung am 30. Januar anheben, so Analysten, die von Anif und Corficolombiana befragt wurden. Der Schritt würde die Inflation 2025 von 5,15 % und eine Erhöhung des Mindestlohns um 23 % angehen, die die Inflationserwartungen angeheizt hat. Der globale Kontext mit stabilen Fed-Zinsen und der Politik Brasiliens prägt die lokale Aussicht.

 

 

 

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