US Fed delivers quarter-point rate cut

The US Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday a quarter-point cut to its benchmark interest rate, aligning with market expectations but falling short of President Donald Trump's calls for a larger reduction. This marks the third cut this year.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve's monetary-policy body, decided to lower the benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent, a level that previously posed a high burden on interest repayments. Led by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, this decision addresses uncertainties in the inflation outlook.

The FOMC statement noted: “Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that downside risks to employment rose in recent months.” This highlights the Fed's focus on both employment and inflation.

President Donald Trump has long criticized this year's third rate cut as too late and too small, demanding a larger reduction to boost the economy. The move has intensified debates over the Fed's independence.

The decision could ripple through global financial markets by affecting international capital flows. Many central banks, including the Hong Kong Monetary Authority with its US dollar peg, often follow the Fed's lead. Institutions like the People's Bank of China will also assess the implications.

While the cut aims to support economic growth, the elevated rate range continues to pressure borrowers. Markets anticipate it will ease some economic strains, though global uncertainties persist.

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The Hong Kong Monetary Authority kept its base rate at 4% unchanged, mirroring the US Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady. This leaves borrowers in the city waiting longer for funding costs to fall amid ongoing uncertainties. The authority urged the public to manage interest rate risks carefully in decisions on property, investments, or borrowing.

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Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve chair ends in May 2026, opening the door to greater influence from Donald Trump over the central bank. The president-elect has harshly criticized Powell and seeks to appoint a loyal successor, threatening the institution's independence. Analysts expect up to three interest rate cuts this year if inflation eases.

South Korea's central bank decided to keep its benchmark interest rate at 2.5 percent during a monetary policy meeting in Seoul on January 15. This marks the fifth consecutive hold since July, driven by a weakened won and inflation concerns that limit further easing. BOK Governor Rhee Chang-yong emphasized a data-driven approach, leaving room for potential rate cuts in the next three months amid high uncertainty.

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日本銀行は12月20日、政策金利を0.5%から0.75%に引き上げ、30年ぶりの高水準となった。これによりインフレ抑制を目指すが、円はドルなど主要通貨に対し急落した。市場はBOJの将来の利上げ見通しが曖昧だったため、売りが優勢となった。

The Banco de la República decided to keep the interest rate at 9.25% for October 2025, citing inflation rising for the third consecutive month. President Gustavo Petro reacted by stating that rates will only fall with the next board appointment. Manager Leonardo Villar clarified that the next appointment is scheduled for February 2029.

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Colombia's central bank may hike its policy rate by 50 basis points to 9.75% at its January 30 meeting, according to analysts surveyed by Anif and Corficolombiana. The move would address 2025 inflation of 5.15% and a 23% minimum wage increase that has boosted inflation expectations. The global context, with steady Fed rates and Brazil's policy, shapes the local outlook.

 

 

 

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