At US biggest retail show, China question never goes away for Walmart, Costco and others

Tariffs may ebb and supply chains may detour, but US shoppers and giants like Walmart and Amazon still rely heavily on Chinese goods. At the National Retail Federation (NRF) showcase, attendees expressed more optimism for the year ahead.

The National Retail Federation (NRF) showcase event, held in this nation of shopaholics, saw some 42,000 attendees descend on a space equivalent to five football fields, as corporate booths competed for attention with wine bars, talking robots, couches and extra thick carpeting for clients’ sore feet.

“I feel more optimistic for this year,” said Teagan Pollard, an IT expert with TP Industries, which sells vaping equipment from China. “The economy and tariffs have been rough. But something’s got to break, hopefully in the right direction.”

“Since the beginning of 2025, people were apprehensive about the way tariffs would play out,” said John Martin, a consultant with supply-chain software company Infios. “In 2026, people have changed their supply chains. So there’s less apprehension.”

That has put a spotlight on the American consumer, which chugs along through thick and thin, the secret sauce powering the world’s largest economy. Household consumption accounts for two-thirds of America’s US$31 trillion economy dominated by citizens who gleefully spend every last dollar – and often more – thanks to easy credit. Keywords like Bangladesh, Trump, Target, Amazon, Chinese, Greenland, Mexico, China, India, Walmart, Beijing, American consumer, El Salvador, New York, and Costco highlight efforts to diversify supply chains, yet China's influence persists.

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Photo illustration of a furniture store with rising price tags and tariff-impacted wood products, highlighting increased costs since 2020.
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Harga furnitur naik sejak 2020 karena tarif baru dan biaya menambah tekanan

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Harga untuk kategori furnitur utama telah naik sejak pandemi, meskipun masih tertinggal dari inflasi secara keseluruhan. Tarif AS baru pada produk kayu dan bea impor luas dapat mendorong biaya lebih tinggi, menurut angka industri dan data federal.

Walmart, peritel omnichannel terkemuka, mengandalkan strategi Everyday Low Prices-nya untuk mempertahankan kepercayaan pelanggan dan mendorong pertumbuhan melalui integrasi eCommerce dan toko fisik. Namun, ketidakpastian tarif baru menimbulkan tantangan operasional karena ketergantungan perusahaan yang berat pada impor dan manufaktur asing. Tindakan terbaru oleh Mahkamah Agung AS dan pemerintahan Trump telah meningkatkan kekhawatiran ini terhadap prospek bisnis Walmart.

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Saat tahun pertama tarif tak terduga Donald Trump mendekati akhir pada 2025, perusahaan teknologi besar sebagian besar menyerah daripada melawan, memilih kesepakatan dan sumbangan di tengah biaya yang meningkat dan ketidakpastian hukum. Dari hadiah emas Apple hingga AS mengamankan saham di pembuat chip, industri menavigasi lanskap kacau ancaman dan negosiasi. Dengan tantangan Mahkamah Agung yang mengintai, sektor bersiap untuk gangguan lebih lanjut di 2026.

Fenalco's Economic Logbook reveals a decline in business optimism for 2026, with only 34% of respondents expecting improvements in their operations over the next six months. While November saw a sales boost from Black Days, uncertainty about consumption weighs on the commercial sector. The report highlights transformations in shopping malls and threats from platforms like Shein and Temu.

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Chinese contract drug makers including WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics and WuXi XDC face a less certain long-term revenue outlook as US pharmaceutical companies reshore production amid US-China tensions. Cui Cui, head of healthcare research for Asia at Jefferies, said earnings visibility for 2026 and 2027 remains strong due to order backlogs, but longer-term order growth lacks clarity.

Geopolitical tensions leading to Beijing's travel advisories caused a sharp drop in duty-free sales at major Japanese department stores in December. This decline underscores Japan's vulnerability to shifts in Chinese tourism, a vital engine for economic recovery.

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Japan's exports grew 3.1% in 2025 from the previous year, led by electronic parts and food, according to a Finance Ministry report. Despite a decline in shipments to the United States—the first since the pandemic—due to tariffs from President Donald Trump, exports to Europe and Asia excluding China remained strong.

 

 

 

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