The Chicago Cubs made a solid return to the playoffs in 2025, winning their first postseason series since 2017, but concerns linger over their pitching and lineup heading into 2026. Key in-house players like third baseman Matt Shaw, starter Shota Imanaga, and reliever Porter Hodge must step up to build on this progress. With outfielder Kyle Tucker entering free agency, internal development becomes crucial.
The Cubs' 2025 season marked a step forward, as they reached the playoffs for the first time since 2020 and advanced past the NLDS for the first time since 2017. However, their starting rotation struggled in October, averaging under three innings per start with a 4.43 ERA. The lineup, which had been high-powered earlier, faded in the second half, raising questions about sustaining momentum.
Chicago faces decisions this offseason, including the potential departure of slugger Kyle Tucker as a free agent. While external signings are possible—such as re-signing Alex Bregman at third base—the team will rely heavily on young talent. Third baseman Matt Shaw, MLB Pipeline's No. 19 prospect entering 2025, struggled initially, batting .172/.294/.241 over 68 plate appearances in his first 18 games before a demotion to the minors. He improved upon returning on May 18, achieving a league-average 99 wRC+, but more is needed if Tucker leaves.
Starting pitcher Shota Imanaga, fresh off a strong 2024 rookie year with a 2.91 ERA and 3.72 FIP, regressed in 2025. His ERA rose to 3.73 and FIP to 4.86, with declining strikeout, ground-ball, and home run rates. Imanaga allowed an MLB-high 24 home runs, particularly struggling with his four-seam fastball, which had a -10 run value—14 runs worse than the previous year. With Justin Steele recovering from Tommy John surgery, 34-year-old Matthew Boyd at risk of regression, and veterans Jameson Taillon and Colin Rea in their mid-30s, Imanaga's rebound is essential.
Reliever Porter Hodge, who shone in 2024 with a 1.88 ERA and 10.9 K/9 while closing games, faltered in 2025 due to injuries, posting a 6.27 ERA and missing the postseason. The Cubs added Phil Maton as setup man for closer Daniel Palencia, but lack other right-handed bullpen options, making the 24-year-old Hodge vital. Addressing these areas could position Chicago for deeper playoff runs.